The Arizona Diamondbacks (70-67) and Colorado Rockies (50-86) clash in the first of a three-game series on Monday at Chase Field, at 4:10 PM ET. The Diamondbacks are coming off a series defeat to the Orioles, and the Rockies a series loss to the Blue Jays.
The Rockies are an underdog (+212 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Diamondbacks (-257). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of September 4, 2023 at 3:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -257 | +212 | 8.5 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have entered the game as favorites 60 times this season and won 36, or 60%, of those games.
- Arizona has played as favorites of -257 or more once this season and won that game.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 72% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of 137 games with a total.
- The Diamondbacks are 74-63-0 against the spread in their 137 chances this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 121 games this year and have walked away with the win 45 times (37.2%) in those games.
- This season, Colorado has been a moneyline underdog of -257 or longer 20 times, losing every contest.
- The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 32.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 62 of its 136 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rockies are 65-71-0 against the spread in their 136 games that had a posted line this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 6.83 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Merrill Kelly
- When Kelly starts, his team is 13-11-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed 12 hits in five innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Kelly has 23 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 24 chances this season.
- Kelly’s team has a record of 8-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Kelly’s team has a 13-11 record in his starts this season.
- In games Kelly has started this season, the teams are 8-16-0 at hitting the over.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 62 | 55.2 | 47 | 5.01 | 12 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 57 | 49.1 | 61 | 3.65 | 11 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 57 | 53.2 | 74 | 3.19 | 0 | 29 |
| Scott McGough | 56 | 66 | 80 | 4.5 | 14 | 9 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 50 | 55.2 | 56 | 2.43 | 7 | 4 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Peter Lambert
- Lambert makes the start for the Rockies, his 11th of the season. He is 3-5 with a 4.95 ERA and 64 strikeouts through 76 1/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance was on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when the righty threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Lambert will look to extend a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 3.3 frames per outing).
- He has had seven appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Rockies have been the moneyline underdog in eight of Lambert’s starts this season, and they went 1-7 in those games.
- Lambert’s team is 2-8 in his 10 starts.
- Lambert has started 10 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bird | 56 | 79 | 68 | 4.22 | 10 | 0 |
| Justin Lawrence | 56 | 64.2 | 66 | 4.18 | 9 | 10 |
| Brent Suter | 48 | 60.1 | 46 | 3.58 | 6 | 0 |
| Matt Koch | 29 | 29.2 | 19 | 3.34 | 5 | 0 |
| Gavin Hollowell | 16 | 19 | 18 | 5.21 | 2 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks have a 29-14 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Arizona is 20-7 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 96 times this season, and has a 64-32 record in those games.
- Arizona is 59-19 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Diamondbacks have drawn at least five walks in 46 games this season, and are 23-23 in those contests.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 30 games this season and are 18-12 in those matchups.
- In 28 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 12-16.
- They have a record of 37-47 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Colorado has won 37 of its 56 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 14 of their 20 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-257)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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