Orioles vs. Angels Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 3, 2023

The Los Angeles Angels (64-73) bring a three-game losing streak into a contest versus the Baltimore Orioles (85-51), at 9:38 PM ET on Monday.

The Angels are an underdog (+159 on the moneyline) when they square off against the Orioles (-193). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

The betting trends in this article are based off odds valid as of September 4, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles vs Angels Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Orioles -193 +159 8.5

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have won 44, or 68.8%, of the 64 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Baltimore has entered 12 games this season favored by -193 or more and is 10-2 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Orioles, based on the moneyline, is 65.9%.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of its 136 games with a total this season.
  • In 136 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 84-52-0 ATS.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.8
HR 11
ERA 3.94
K/9 8.4

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have been underdogs in 65 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (43.1%) in those contests.
  • This year, Los Angeles has won two of seven games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Angels have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 70 of its 137 opportunities.
  • The Angels are 62-75-0 against the spread in their 137 games that had a posted line this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 10
ERA 6.32
K/9 8.8

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez

  • Rodriguez and his team are 11-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Monday, Aug. 28, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
  • Rodriguez has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • In 18 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
  • Rodriguez’s team has a record of 5-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Rodriguez’s team is 11-7 when he starts this season.
  • In games Rodriguez has started this season, the teams are 12-6-0 at hitting the over.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yeinier Cano 60 64.1 58 1.68 29 5
Cionel Pérez 52 45.2 41 3.55 9 1
Danny Coulombe 50 43 52 2.51 22 2
Jorge López 48 48 36 6 7 3
Shintaro Fujinami 45 69.1 75 7.53 4 1

Angels Probable Pitcher – Kenny Rosenberg

  • Rosenberg will start for the Angels, his first of the season.
  • The 28-year-old lefty has pitched in relief two times this season.
  • Rosenberg’s team was the underdog on the moneyline only once in a game he pitched a season ago, and won.
  • His team won the only game he appeared in last season.
  • He pitched in only one game with a set total last season, and the teams combined to go under.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Carlos Estévez 52 54 67 3.33 2 29
Aaron Loup 49 42.1 38 5.74 9 1
Jose Soriano 29 33 45 4.36 13 0
Jaime Barria 24 75.1 60 5.97 2 0
Jimmy Herget 18 18.1 13 5.4 4 0

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • The Orioles have a 38-13 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • Baltimore has gone 32-3 in its 35 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up eight or more hits in 88 games this season, and is 62-26 in those contests.
  • Baltimore has a 65-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Orioles have drawn at least five walks in 32 games this season, and are 25-7 in those contests.

Angels Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 53 games this season and are 34-19 in those matchups.
  • Los Angeles has gone 23-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 86 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 48-38.
  • Los Angeles has a 47-21 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 20 of their 35 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Orioles vs. Angels Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-193)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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