Cubs vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 3, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (73-64) and San Francisco Giants (70-67) clash on Monday at 2:20 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Wrigley Field.

The Cubs are a home favorite (-140) against the Giants (+117). The total for the game is set at 9 total runs.

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of September 4, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -140 +117 9

Cubs Betting Insights

  • This season, the Cubs have been favored 74 times and won 43, or 58.1%, of those games.
  • Chicago has a record of 20-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -140 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of 137 opportunities.
  • The Cubs are 66-71-0 against the spread in their 137 chances this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 11
ERA 3.00
K/9 10.0

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have come away with 32 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Francisco has a win-loss record of 14-17 when favored by +117 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 46.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of its 137 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 137 games with a line this season, the Giants have a mark of 66-71-0 against the spread.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 5
ERA 4.24
K/9 8.0

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele

  • Steele and his team have a record of 13-12-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on six hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
  • Steele will look to finish five or more innings for the 14th start in a row.
  • He has six appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 25 chances this season.
  • Steele’s team has won 80% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (12-3).
  • In games Steele has started, his team is 18-7.
  • In games Steele has started this season, the teams are 13-11-1 at hitting the over.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Mark Leiter Jr. 59 58.1 75 3.09 27 4
Julian Merryweather 58 61 82 3.25 16 0
Jose Cuas 54 54.2 60 3.62 6 0
Adbert Alzolay 53 61 65 2.80 7 22
Daniel Palencia 18 17.2 16 3.57 1 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Logan Webb

  • Webb (9-11 with a 3.49 ERA and 169 strikeouts in 180 1/3 innings pitched) tries for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Giants, his 29th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, the right-hander tossed six innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Webb will aim to last five or more innings for his eighth straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.4 innings per outing.
  • He has made two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Giants have a 3-7 record in Webb’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Webb’s team has compiled a 13-15 record in his 28 starts.
  • Webb has started 28 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 58 57.1 77 2.98 0 35
Tyler Rogers 57 64.1 54 2.94 27 2
Taylor Rogers 52 46.1 55 2.72 11 1
Scott Alexander 40 42.1 26 4.46 6 1
Jakob Junis 30 76.2 86 3.87 2 1

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs have a 35-20 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
  • Chicago is 23-3 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has put up eight or more hits 88 times this season, and has a 64-24 record in those games.
  • Chicago is 56-15 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Cubs are 26-19 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 46 games this season and are 28-18 in those matchups.
  • San Francisco has won 15 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 51 of the 76 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • San Francisco has a 41-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 21 of their 35 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Cubs vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-140)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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