The Cleveland Guardians (66-70) carry a four-game winning streak into a contest versus the Tampa Bay Rays (82-54), at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Guardians (+121 underdog moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Rays (-145). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of September 3, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -145 | +121 | 9.5 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have won 72, or 64.3%, of the 112 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Tampa Bay is 51-23 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 59.2% chance to win.
- Games involving Tampa Bay has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 72 of 136 chances this season.
- The Rays are 73-63-0 ATS in their 136 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 3.23 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have come away with 31 wins in the 69 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Cleveland has a mark of 10-20 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Cleveland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 56 of 135 chances this season.
- The Guardians have an against the spread record of 71-64-0 in 135 games with a line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.84 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- Bradley and his team have a record of 6-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, July 29, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing three hits against the Houston Astros.
- In 16 starts this season, Bradley has lasted five or more innings 10 times, with an average of 4.6 innings per appearance.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 16 chances this season.
- Bradley’s team is 6-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bradley’s team has won six of his 16 starts.
- Games started by Bradley have a 9-7-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 53 | 54 | 69 | 2.67 | 11 | 11 |
| Jake Diekman | 52 | 46.2 | 49 | 4.05 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 52 | 48.1 | 46 | 2.42 | 16 | 1 |
| Robert Stephenson | 49 | 43.2 | 63 | 3.5 | 11 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 46 | 54.1 | 45 | 3.48 | 9 | 2 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Xzavion Curry
- Curry makes the start for the Guardians, his ninth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 79 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared on Monday against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw two innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Curry has pitched five or more innings in a game four times this year entering this game.
- He has had 15 appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Guardians were the underdog on the moneyline for four Curry starts this season — they lost each time.
- Curry’s team has won two of his eight starts.
- Curry’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of eight games.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 62 | 63 | 57 | 2.86 | 0 | 37 |
| Trevor Stephan | 60 | 59.1 | 65 | 2.73 | 23 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 59 | 56 | 56 | 2.89 | 14 | 0 |
| Reynaldo López | 54 | 56 | 71 | 3.86 | 14 | 6 |
| Eli Morgan | 51 | 55.2 | 61 | 3.07 | 8 | 1 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 44-16 record in games this season when they belt at least two homers.
- Tampa Bay has gone 30-3 in its 33 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits 91 times this season, and has a 62-29 record in those games.
- Tampa Bay has a 61-20 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rays are 24-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They are 20-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cleveland has gone 19-6 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 82 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 45-37.
- Cleveland has won 39 of its 50 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 18-12
Rays vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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