Padres vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 3, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 3, 2023

The San Diego Padres (64-73) will look to Juan Soto, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the San Francisco Giants (70-66) at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday, at PETCO Park.

The Giants are an underdog (+113 on the moneyline) when they visit the Padres (-135). The total for the game is 7.5 total runs.

The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of September 3, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -135 +113 7.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have entered the game as favorites 106 times this season and won 55, or 51.9%, of those games.
  • San Diego has a record of 46-34 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 137 chances.
  • The Padres have an ATS record of 65-72-0 in 137 games with a spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 3.98
K/9 8.9

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (48.5%) in those games.
  • San Francisco has a mark of 15-21 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +113 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 46.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of its 136 opportunities.
  • The Giants have an against the spread record of 66-70-0 in 136 games with a line this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 7
ERA 4.25
K/9 8.4

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Seth Lugo

  • When Lugo starts, his team is 9-12-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed six hits in six innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
  • Lugo will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 21 chances this season.
  • Lugo’s team has been victorious in 38.9% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-11.
  • Lugo’s team has won eight of his 21 starts this season.
  • In games Lugo has started this season, the teams are 8-9-4 at hitting the over.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Luís Garcia 50 51 46 4.24 9 0
Josh Hader 50 46.2 74 1.16 0 28
Nick Martínez 49 93.1 85 3.95 15 1
Scott Barlow 49 55.1 64 5.04 3 13
Tim Hill 44 42.2 26 4.22 9 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb (7-5 with a 3.57 ERA and 125 strikeouts in 141 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Giants, his 26th of the season.
  • His most recent time out came on Wednesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the right-hander went nine innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up only one hit.
  • Cobb will try to build on a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per outing).
  • In six of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Giants have a 7-4 record in Cobb’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Cobb’s team has a 17-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Cobb has had 25 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those games.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 58 57.1 77 2.98 0 35
Tyler Rogers 57 64.1 54 2.94 27 2
Taylor Rogers 52 46.1 55 2.72 11 1
Scott Alexander 40 42.1 26 4.46 6 1
Jakob Junis 30 76.2 86 3.87 2 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres are 32-26 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
  • San Diego is 24-8 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has totaled eight or more hits 73 times this season, and has a 49-24 record in those games.
  • San Diego is 52-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres are 30-24 in the 54 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 28 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has won 15 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 51 of the 76 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • San Francisco has a 41-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 21-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-135)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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