The Seattle Mariners (77-58) will look for another strong showing from a batter on a roll against the New York Mets (62-74) on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, at Citi Field. J.P. Crawford is on a two-game homer streak.
The Mariners are a favorite (-154) at the Mets (+129). The total in the game is 9 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of September 3, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -154 | +129 | 9 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been favorites in 93 games this season and won 55 (59.1%) of those contests.
- Seattle has a record of 27-17, a 61.4% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of its 135 games with a total this season.
- The Mariners are 67-68-0 ATS in their 135 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 3.24 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have won in 16, or 28.6%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, New York has been victorious two times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 137 opportunities.
- The Mets have posted a record of 59-78-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.94 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby
- Kirby and his team have a record of 12-13-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday, Aug. 23.
- Kirby will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- In 25 appearances this season, he has finished five without allowing an earned run.
- When Kirby starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 12-8.
- Kirby’s team has a 14-11 record in his starts this season.
- In Kirby’s 25 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 11 times.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 65 | 58.1 | 93 | 3.39 | 19 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 60 | 55.1 | 50 | 2.11 | 22 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 57 | 45.2 | 52 | 3.74 | 16 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 43 | 41.2 | 39 | 3.24 | 3 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 41 | 39.2 | 55 | 2.72 | 13 | 11 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – Tylor Megill
- Megill (7-7) gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 21st start of the season. He has a 5.29 ERA in 97 2/3 innings pitched, with 82 strikeouts.
- In his most recent time out on Monday against the Texas Rangers, the righty threw six innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Megill has pitched five or more innings in a game 12 times this season entering this matchup.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Mets have been the moneyline underdog in 13 of Megill’s starts this season, and they went 4-9 in those games.
- Megill’s team has an 8-12 record in his starts this season.
- Megill’s starts went over the run total seven times in 20 games with a set total this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 58 | 54 | 49 | 3.17 | 12 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 55 | 44.1 | 46 | 3.25 | 22 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 52 | 48.2 | 55 | 4.62 | 9 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 52 | 47.2 | 56 | 3.97 | 11 | 3 |
| Phil Bickford | 51 | 58.2 | 68 | 5.52 | 4 | 1 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have racked up two or more long balls in 50 games this season, and are 40-10 in those contests.
- Seattle is 25-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 85 times this season, and has a 61-24 record in those games.
- Seattle has a 65-8 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Mariners have gone 32-14 over the 46 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They are 28-20 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 23 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-6.
- In 73 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-24.
- New York has a 46-19 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 17-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-154)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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