The Washington Nationals (62-74) will aim to snap a three-game losing streak when hosting the Miami Marlins (68-67) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Marlins are projected as a close favorite (-119 moneyline odds) against the Nationals (-101). The game’s over/under is 9.5.
The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of September 2, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -119 | -101 | 9.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 65 games this season and won 38 (58.5%) of those contests.
- This season Miami has won 35 of its 53 games, or 66%, when favored by at least -119 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have a 54.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of 135 opportunities.
- In 135 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 59-76-0 ATS.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.56 |
| K/9 | 8 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won in 54, or 43.2%, of the 125 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Washington has been victorious 53 times in 119 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 50.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 64 of its 135 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Nationals are 74-61-0 against the spread in their 135 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Johnny Cueto
- Cueto and his team have a record of 2-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Aug. 15, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Houston Astros, giving up four earned runs.
- In six starts this season, Cueto has lasted five or more innings five times, with an average of 4.6 innings per appearance.
- In seven appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Cueto’s team is 0-2 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Cueto’s team is 1-5 when he starts this season.
- In games Cueto has started this season, the teams are 2-4-0 at hitting the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 56 | 63.2 | 85 | 2.4 | 24 | 3 |
| David Robertson | 52 | 56 | 61 | 3.21 | 7 | 19 |
| Steven Okert | 49 | 49.2 | 62 | 3.62 | 11 | 0 |
| Andrew Nardi | 48 | 46.1 | 62 | 2.91 | 12 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 47 | 47 | 35 | 6.13 | 7 | 3 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams (6-8) takes the mound first for the Nationals in his 27th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.82 ERA in 130 2/3 innings pitched, with 99 strikeouts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed seven innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Williams will try to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging five frames per outing.
- In four of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 10-13 record in Williams’ 23 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williams’ team is 13-13 over his 26 starts.
- Williams has started 25 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 10 of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 57 | 60.2 | 57 | 2.82 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 48 | 49.2 | 55 | 2.72 | 16 | 10 |
| Mason Thompson | 47 | 52.1 | 42 | 5.16 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 39 | 44.2 | 50 | 2.82 | 6 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 31 | 33.2 | 31 | 5.88 | 4 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 19-22 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- Miami has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 22-2 in those contests.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 100 times this season, and has a 56-44 record in those games.
- Miami is 47-14 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in 29 games this season, and are 17-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 34 games this season and are 23-11 in those matchups.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-4.
- They have a record of 50-39 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 44-13.
- They have won 15 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (-101)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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