Jerick McKinnon and the Kansas City Chiefs will face the Detroit Lions at 8:20 PM ET on Thursday in Week 1 of the 2023 NFL season.
Jerick McKinnon Player Props vs the Lions
| Rush Yds Over/Under | Rush Yds Over Payout | Rec. Yds Over/Under | Rec. Yds Over Payout | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | -110 | 28.5 | -115 | +195 |
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2022 Betting Outcomes
| Rushing | Receiving | |
|---|---|---|
| Games Over Yards Prop | 5 | 10 |
| Games w/1+ TDs | 1 | 7 |
| Games w/2+ TDs | 0 | 2 |
Jerick McKinnon’s Rushing Trends
- Last season McKinnon rushed for 17.1 yards per game and averaged 30.1 receiving yards. He also scored 10 touchdowns.
- He averaged 4.0 rushing yards per carry (291 yards on 72 attempts).
- McKinnon’s 291 rushing yards ranked 68th in the league last season, and his one TD on the ground ranked 88th.
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McKinnon’s Receiving Trends
- McKinnon’s 7.2 yards per catch average was 82nd in the NFL
This Week’s Predictions
| McKinnon (2022) | League AVG (2022) | vs Lions (2022) | Prediction | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5+ Rushing Yards | 41.2% | 95.2% | 100% | 62.6% |
| 1+ Rushing TDs | 5.9% | 35.1% | 44.8% | 19.3% |
| 2+ Rushing TDs | 0% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| 28.5+ Receiving Yards | 47.1% | 59.3% | 63% | 52.6% |
| 1+ Receiving TDs | 41.2% | 22.3% | 27.2% | 35.3% |
| 2+ Receiving TDs | 11.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 8.7% |
The “Prediction” column gives our estimate of how likely the player is to meet or exceed the listed total for the stat in this week’s game. For example, that means if the prediction is greater than 55% on a prop that is listed with -110 odds (an implied probability of just over 50%), it would be a recommended pick.
The “league average” and “versus opposing team” percentages show how often a player went over the stat total (while meeting the standard NFL qualifying participation threshold) compared to the total number of qualified players across the league in that stat category (passing, rushing or receiving).
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