Padres vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 2, 2023

The San Diego Padres (63-73) and San Francisco Giants (70-65) meet on Saturday at 8:40 PM ET.

The Padres are favored (-142 moneyline odds) when they host the Giants (+118). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of September 2, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -142 +118 8.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 105 games this season and won 54 (51.4%) of those contests.
  • San Diego is 43-30 this season when entering a game favored by -142 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.7% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 136 games with a total this season.
  • The Padres are 64-72-0 ATS in their 136 games with a spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 10
ERA 4.19
K/9 8.6

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have come away with 32 wins in the 65 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Francisco has a win-loss record of 11-16 when favored by +118 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 45.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with San Francisco has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 58 of 135 chances this season.
  • The Giants have posted a record of 66-69-0 against the spread this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 7
ERA 4.04
K/9 8.8

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell

  • When Snell starts, his team is 14-13-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals while allowing two hits.
  • Snell has pitched five or more innings in 18 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has nine appearances with no earned runs allowed in 27 chances this season.
  • When Snell starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 13-9.
  • Snell’s team is 13-14 when he starts this season.
  • In Snell’s 27 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over 10 times.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Josh Hader 50 46.2 74 1.16 0 28
Scott Barlow 49 55.1 64 5.04 3 13
Nick Martínez 49 93.1 85 3.95 15 1
Luís Garcia 49 50 45 4.32 9 0
Tim Hill 44 42.2 26 4.22 9 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Kyle Harrison

  • The Giants are sending Harrison (1-0) out for his third start of the season.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Cincinnati Reds, when he threw 6 1/3 scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • Harrison is looking to collect his second start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his two outings this season.
  • The Giants were named the moneyline underdog for one Harrison start this season — they lost.
  • His team split the two matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Harrison’s two starts with a total this season both went under.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 58 57.1 77 2.98 0 35
Tyler Rogers 57 64.1 54 2.94 27 2
Taylor Rogers 51 45.1 55 2.78 11 1
Scott Alexander 40 42.1 26 4.46 6 1
Jakob Junis 30 76.2 86 3.87 2 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have hit two or more home runs in 57 games this season, and are 31-26 in those outings.
  • San Diego has put up at least five extra-base hits in 32 games this season, and has gone 24-8 in those contests.
  • The team has strung together at least eight hits 73 times this season, and has a 49-24 record in those games.
  • San Diego has a 51-11 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Padres are 30-24 over the 54 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 28 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has gone 15-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 76 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 51-25.
  • San Francisco has a 41-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 21-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-142)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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