Julio Rodriguez brings a 14-game hitting streak into the Seattle Mariners’ (76-58) game versus the New York Mets (62-73) at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, at Citi Field.
The Mariners are favored (-152 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at the Mets (+128). The contest has a set total of 8.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of September 2, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -152 | +128 | 8 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have been favored 92 times and won 54, or 58.7%, of those games.
- Seattle is 26-19 this season when entering a game favored by -152 or more on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 60.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 67 of 134 opportunities.
- The Mariners have an ATS record of 67-67-0 in 134 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 10.2 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have come away with 16 wins in the 55 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- New York has a win-loss record of 2-13 when favored by +128 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Mets have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with New York has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 55 of 136 chances this season.
- The Mets have posted a record of 58-78-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo and his team have a record of 10-17-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander allowed one hit in seven scoreless innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday.
- Castillo has 27 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In 27 appearances this season, he has finished eight without allowing an earned run.
- Castillo’s team has a record of 14-9 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Castillo has started, his team is 15-12.
- Games started by Castillo have a 15-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 64 | 57 | 91 | 3.47 | 18 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 59 | 54 | 50 | 2.17 | 22 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 56 | 45 | 50 | 3.60 | 15 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 42 | 41 | 39 | 3.07 | 3 | 1 |
| Dominic Leone | 41 | 43.2 | 44 | 4.74 | 3 | 1 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- The Mets are sending Peterson (3-7) to the mound to make his 17th start of the season. He is 3-7 with a 5.23 ERA and 91 strikeouts over 84 1/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the left-hander threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Peterson will try to record his 10th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 3.8 innings per appearance.
- He has had six appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Mets have a 3-5 record in Peterson’s eight starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- In Peterson’s 16 starts, his team is 6-10.
- Peterson has had 16 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in nine of those matchups.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 57 | 53 | 47 | 3.06 | 12 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 55 | 44.1 | 46 | 3.25 | 22 | 3 |
| Drew Smith | 52 | 47.2 | 56 | 3.97 | 11 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 51 | 47.2 | 54 | 4.72 | 9 | 1 |
| Phil Bickford | 50 | 57.2 | 67 | 5.62 | 4 | 1 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 39-10 record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
- Seattle has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 26 games this season, and has gone 25-1 in those outings.
- The team is 60-24 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Seattle has a 64-8 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 46 games this season, and are 32-14 in those contests.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 28 of the 47 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has won 17 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 49-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 64 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 46-18.
- They have won 17 of their 31 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mariners vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-152)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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