The Milwaukee Brewers (75-59) are looking for William Contreras to extend an 11-game hitting streak versus the Philadelphia Phillies (74-60), on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET, at American Family Field.
The Brewers are an underdog at home (+122) against the Phillies (-146). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of September 2, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -146 | +122 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 92 games this season and won 54 (58.7%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has entered 49 games this season favored by -146 or more and is 30-19 in those contests.
- The Phillies have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of 134 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 61-73-0 ATS in their 134 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.3 |
| HR | 26 |
| ERA | 3.80 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been underdogs in 65 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (53.8%) in those contests.
- Milwaukee has a mark of 12-20 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +122 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 45% chance of pulling out a win.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of its 134 opportunities.
- The Brewers have posted a record of 66-68-0 against the spread this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola and his team are 12-15-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he allowed one hit in seven scoreless innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in five straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 27 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Nola’s team is 12-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- In games Nola has started, his team is 15-12.
- Games Nola has started this season hit the over 15 times in 27 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 59 | 57 | 76 | 3.63 | 4 | 21 |
| Gregory Soto | 57 | 51 | 51 | 4.76 | 18 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 45 | 37.2 | 36 | 3.82 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 40 | 41.2 | 55 | 2.59 | 5 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 36 | 77 | 96 | 3.27 | 7 | 1 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea (5-5 with a 5.11 ERA and 85 strikeouts in 100 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Brewers, his 20th of the season.
- The righty last appeared on Saturday, Aug. 5 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he tossed four innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up eight hits.
- Rea has put together 16 starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- In two of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Brewers have a 7-3 record in Rea’s 10 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Rea’s team has compiled an 11-8 record in his 19 starts.
- Rea has started 19 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in nine of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 60 | 54.2 | 49 | 2.30 | 15 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 58 | 62 | 69 | 2.47 | 24 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 52 | 50.2 | 75 | 1.60 | 0 | 31 |
| Elvis Peguero | 52 | 55.1 | 47 | 3.42 | 18 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 48 | 40.2 | 55 | 5.53 | 12 | 8 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 37-12 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Philadelphia has collected five or more extra-base hits in 40 games this season, and has gone 31-9 in those outings.
- The team is 59-32 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 54-13 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have gone 32-14 over the 46 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 41-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee is undefeated in 16 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 52-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has won 62 of its 72 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 45 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 33-12
Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (+122)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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