Kyle Tucker will try to get his 100th RBI of the year (he has 98) when the Houston Astros (77-59) take on the New York Yankees (66-69) at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.
The Yankees (+157 underdog moneyline odds) visit the Astros (-191). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 2, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -191 | +157 | 8.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 98 times and won 54, or 55.1%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 17-7 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -191 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 65.6%.
- So far this season, Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of 136 games with a total.
- The Astros are 68-68-0 against the spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.10 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have won in 21, or 40.4%, of the 52 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, New York has been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +157 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 38.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 61 of its 135 opportunities.
- The Yankees are 66-69-0 against the spread in their 135 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 25 |
| ERA | 2.56 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown
- When Brown starts, his team is 9-15-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, Aug. 26, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
- Brown has started 24 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 16 times. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
- He has made 25 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
- Brown’s team has been victorious in 52.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-9.
- In games Brown has started, his team is 13-11.
- Games Brown has started this season hit the over 12 times in 24 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 60 | 61 | 86 | 2.07 | 22 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 58 | 59 | 59 | 3.20 | 11 | 8 |
| Héctor Neris | 57 | 56 | 63 | 1.93 | 26 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 55 | 55.1 | 61 | 3.42 | 8 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 55 | 57 | 63 | 3.32 | 0 | 29 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- Severino makes the start for the Yankees, his 17th of the season. He is 4-8 with a 6.64 ERA and 71 strikeouts in 81 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw seven scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
- Severino will look to continue a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.8 frames per appearance).
- He is looking to keep a streak of two games without surrendering an earned run intact.
- The Yankees are 3-8 in Severino’s 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Severino’s team is 7-10 in his 16 starts.
- Severino has had 17 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and nine of those matchups finished over the total.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 55 | 48.1 | 45 | 3.17 | 15 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 52 | 51 | 60 | 3.00 | 5 | 16 |
| Keynan Middleton | 49 | 49.2 | 64 | 3.08 | 5 | 2 |
| Albert Abreu | 43 | 57 | 58 | 4.74 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 39 | 73 | 87 | 2.96 | 8 | 6 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have racked up two or more dingers in 46 games this season, and are 35-11 in those contests.
- Houston is 24-7 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 94 times this season, and has a 71-23 record in those games.
- Houston has a 66-11 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 44 games this season, and are 36-8 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They have won 54 of the 73 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has won 17 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 80 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 52-28.
- In 65 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 49-16.
- In 40 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 22-18
Astros vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-191)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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