Cubs vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 1, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (72-62) will look to keep a three-game win streak alive when they visit the Cincinnati Reds (69-67) at 6:40 PM ET on Friday.

The Cubs are a favorite (-126) at the Reds (+107). The contest has a set total of 10.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of September 1, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cubs -126 +107 10

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have won 42, or 59.2%, of the 71 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season Chicago has won 31 of its 47 games, or 66%, when favored by at least -126 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.8% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
  • Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of its 134 games with a total this season.
  • The Cubs are 65-69-0 ATS in their 134 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 9
ERA 3.13
K/9 9.6

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 102 games this year and have walked away with the win 49 times (48%) in those games.
  • This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 36 times in 80 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 66 of its 136 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds are 80-56-0 against the spread in their 136 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 9
ERA 4.34
K/9 9.0

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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jose Cuas

  • Cuas and his team are 1-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, throwing two scoreless innings of relief without allowing a hit.
  • This will be Cuas’ first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Cuas’ team has won one of his three starts this season.
  • Out of Cuas’ three starts with a total this season, two have hit the over.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Julian Merryweather 58 61 82 3.25 16 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 57 57 74 2.84 26 4
Jose Cuas 53 53.2 59 3.69 6 0
Adbert Alzolay 52 60.1 63 2.54 7 22
Javier Assad 18 79 60 2.96 1 0

Reds Probable Pitcher – Lyon Richardson

  • Richardson (0-1) takes the mound first for the Reds to make his third start this season.
  • In his most recent time out on Thursday, Aug. 24, the right-hander threw 4 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • The Reds were the moneyline underdog for one Richardson start this season — they won.
  • His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
  • Richardson’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 59 61.2 56 3.36 20 1
Alexis Diaz 57 57.2 78 2.18 1 35
Buck Farmer 57 62.2 58 3.73 10 2
Sam Moll 54 50.1 58 3.75 7 1
Lucas Sims 54 51.2 66 3.66 21 3

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • The Cubs are 34-20 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Chicago has had five or more extra-base hits in 25 games this season, and has gone 22-3 in those outings.
  • The club has strung together eight or more hits in 87 games this season, and is 63-24 in those contests.
  • Chicago has a 55-15 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Cubs have drawn five or more walks in 44 games this season, and are 26-18 in those contests.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 44 games this season and are 33-11 in those matchups.
  • In 36 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 28-8.
  • They have won 61 of the 86 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Cincinnati has won 65 of its 78 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 41 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-20

Cubs vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Reds (+107)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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