Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – September 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on September 1, 2023

Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Atlanta Braves (88-45) into a matchup versus Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers (83-50) at Dodger Stadium, Friday at 10:10 PM ET. Acuna is batting .337, fourth-best in the league, while Freeman is third at .338.

The Dodgers are an underdog at home (+103) against the Braves (-123). The total for this game is set at 8.5.

The betting facts in the article below reference odds valid as of September 1, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Dodgers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -123 +103 8.5

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 120 games this season and won 80 (66.7%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta is 77-34 this season when entering a game favored by -123 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Braves have a 55.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 71 of its 133 games with a total this season.
  • In 133 games with a spread this season, the Braves are 71-62-0 ATS.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 6.3
HR 18
ERA 3.94
K/9 10.7

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been victorious in 11, or 52.4%, of the 21 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 8-7 when favored by +103 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 49.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 75 of its 132 opportunities.
  • In 132 games with a line this season, the Dodgers have a mark of 74-58-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.7
HR 18
ERA 3.89
K/9 7.6

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Max Fried

  • Fried and his team have a record of 5-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • Fried has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • In 10 appearances this season, he has finished four without allowing an earned run.
  • Fried’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3).
  • In games Fried has started, his team is 6-3.
  • In Fried’s nine starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 58 54 63 4.17 16 10
Pierce Johnson 57 53.1 78 4.56 9 13
Kirby Yates 50 51.2 68 2.79 8 2
Brad Hand 49 44.2 48 4.84 3 0
Joe Jiménez 48 47.2 62 2.83 11 0

Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Julio Urias

  • Urias (11-7 with a 4.41 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 112 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Dodgers, his 21st of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed six innings, allowing six earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Urias is aiming for his 10th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
  • In four of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Dodgers have not been a moneyline underdog when Urias starts this season.
  • Urías’ team is 13-7 in his 20 starts.
  • Urias has had 20 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those games.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 54 56.2 41 1.43 17 6
Caleb Ferguson 50 50 55 3.06 16 3
Evan Phillips 49 50 55 2.34 6 21
Ryan Brasier 45 49.1 45 3.65 8 2
Alex Vesia 44 38.2 53 4.89 9 1

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 55-18 this season in games when they send out at least two long balls.
  • Atlanta has gone 32-3 in its 35 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has racked up eight or more hits 93 times this season, and has a 67-26 record in those games.
  • Atlanta is 70-16 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Braves have gone 27-12 in the 39 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 68 games this season and are 51-17 in those matchups.
  • Los Angeles has won 32 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 88 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 65-23.
  • Los Angeles has won 69 of its 87 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 57 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 40-17

Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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