The Miami Marlins (67-67) visit the Washington Nationals (62-73) on Friday at Nationals Park, at 7:05 PM ET.
The Nationals are an underdog at home (+139) versus the Marlins (-167). The over/under in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of September 1, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -167 | +139 | 8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 64 games this season and won 37 (57.8%) of those contests.
- Miami has entered 19 games this season favored by -167 or more and is 13-6 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 62.5%.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of 134 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 58-76-0 against the spread in their 134 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.68 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 124 games this season and have come away with the win 54 times (43.5%) in those contests.
- Washington has a win-loss record of 39-40 when favored by +139 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 63 of its 134 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 74-60-0 in 134 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez
- Perez’s team is 7-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up no earned runs in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
- Perez has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to three.
- Perez’s team has won 33.3% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (3-6).
- Perez’s team has won six of his 15 starts this season.
- Out of Perez’s 15 starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 55 | 61.2 | 84 | 2.48 | 24 | 3 |
| David Robertson | 51 | 55 | 59 | 3.27 | 7 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 48 | 46.1 | 62 | 2.91 | 12 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 48 | 49.1 | 61 | 3.65 | 11 | 0 |
| Jorge López | 47 | 47 | 35 | 6.13 | 7 | 3 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- Irvin gets the start for the Nationals, his 21st of the season. He is 3-5 with a 4.30 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up four hits.
- Irvin is seeking his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 innings per start.
- In two of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Nationals have been the moneyline underdog in 18 of Irvin’s starts this season, and they went 8-10 in those matchups.
- Irvin’s team has put together a 10-10 record over his 20 starts.
- Irvin’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 20 contests.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 56 | 58.2 | 57 | 2.91 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 47 | 48.2 | 53 | 2.77 | 16 | 10 |
| Mason Thompson | 46 | 51.2 | 42 | 5.05 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 38 | 43.2 | 49 | 2.89 | 6 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 31 | 33.2 | 31 | 5.88 | 4 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 19-22 record in games this season when they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami is 22-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 99 times this season, and has a 55-44 record in those games.
- Miami is 46-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 16-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 23 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 17-4.
- They have won 50 of the 88 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 44 of its 56 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-10
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+139)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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