The Chicago Cubs (71-62) and Cincinnati Reds (69-66) square off on Friday at 1:10 PM ET, opening a four-game series at Great American Ball Park.
The Cubs are a favorite (-119) at the Reds (+100). The total for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of September 1, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -119 | +100 | 9.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been favorites in 70 games this season and won 41 (58.6%) of those contests.
- Chicago has a record of 37-20, a 64.9% win rate, when favored by -119 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 54.3% chance to win.
- So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 68 of 133 games with a total.
- The Cubs are 64-69-0 ATS in their 133 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been underdogs in 101 games this season and have come away with the win 49 times (48.5%) in those contests.
- Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 40-47 when favored by +100 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 66 of its 135 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 135 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 80-55-0 against the spread.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.03 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jordan Wicks
- Wicks helped his team cover the spread in his only opportunity this season as a starter.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, throwing five innings and giving up one earned run.
- Wicks’ team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Wicks’ team won in his only start this season.
- The only game started by Wicks with a total this season hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 57 | 60 | 82 | 3.30 | 15 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 57 | 57 | 74 | 2.84 | 26 | 4 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 52 | 60.1 | 63 | 2.54 | 7 | 22 |
| Javier Assad | 18 | 79 | 60 | 2.96 | 1 | 0 |
| Daniel Palencia | 16 | 15.1 | 14 | 4.11 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft (7-8) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his 26th start of the season. He has a 4.73 ERA in 140 2/3 innings pitched, with 105 strikeouts.
- His most recent time out was on Sunday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the righty tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Ashcraft is looking for his 12th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 25 outings this season.
- The Reds are 8-10 in Ashcraft’s 18 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Ashcraft’s team is 11-14 in his 25 starts.
- Ashcraft has had 25 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those matchups.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 59 | 61.2 | 56 | 3.36 | 20 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 57 | 62.2 | 58 | 3.73 | 10 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 57 | 57.2 | 78 | 2.18 | 1 | 35 |
| Sam Moll | 54 | 50.1 | 58 | 3.75 | 7 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 53 | 50.2 | 64 | 3.73 | 21 | 3 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs are 33-20 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Chicago has had five or more extra-base hits in 25 games this season, and has gone 22-3 in those outings.
- The club is 62-24 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Chicago is 54-15 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Cubs have drawn at least five walks in 43 games this season, and are 25-18 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 33-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 36 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 28-8.
- They have a record of 61-25 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cincinnati has won 65 of its 78 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 41 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-20
Cubs vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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