Padres vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 31, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 31, 2023

The San Francisco Giants (69-64) visit the San Diego Padres (62-72) in NL West play, at 9:40 PM ET on Thursday.

The favored Padres (-132 moneyline odds) host the Giants (+112). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 31, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Padres vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Padres -132 +112 8.5

Padres Betting Insights

  • The Padres have been favorites in 103 games this season and won 53 (51.5%) of those contests.
  • San Diego is 44-33 this season when entering a game favored by -132 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have a 56.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of 134 games with a total.
  • The Padres are 63-71-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 11
ERA 4.71
K/9 8.9

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have come away with 31 wins in the 63 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, San Francisco has won 15 of 34 games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 56 of its 133 opportunities.
  • The Giants are 65-68-0 against the spread in their 133 games that had a posted line this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 9
ERA 4.25
K/9 9.3

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Padres Probable Pitcher – Pedro Avila

  • Avila has a record of 2-0-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, throwing 4 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.
  • Avila’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Avila’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
  • In the two games with a total started by Avila this season, the teams hit the over.

Padres Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Josh Hader 50 46.2 74 1.16 0 28
Luís Garcia 49 50 45 4.32 9 0
Nick Martínez 48 91.1 83 4.04 15 1
Scott Barlow 48 54.1 63 4.97 3 13
Tom Cosgrove 37 39 33 1.62 4 0

Giants Probable Pitcher – Jakob Junis

  • Junis (4-3 with a 4.09 ERA and 83 strikeouts in 72 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Giants, his sixth of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance — out of the bullpen on Saturday — the righty threw two innings against the Atlanta Braves, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
  • Junis has yet to pitch five or more innings in any of his five starts (he’s averaging 2 1/3 innings per appearance).
  • He has had 20 appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Giants were the underdog on the moneyline for two Junis starts this season — they won both.
  • Junis’ team is 3-2 in his five starts.
  • Junis has had five starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and two of those outings finished over the total.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 58 57.1 77 2.98 0 35
Tyler Rogers 57 64.1 54 2.94 27 2
Taylor Rogers 51 45.1 55 2.78 11 1
Scott Alexander 38 40.1 24 4.46 6 1
Jakob Junis 30 72.2 83 4.09 2 1

Padres Hitting Trends

  • The Padres have hit two or more long balls in 56 games this season, and are 30-26 in those outings.
  • San Diego is 23-8 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together eight or more hits 72 times this season, and has a 48-24 record in those games.
  • San Diego is 50-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Padres have drawn at least five walks in 53 games this season, and are 30-23 in those contests.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 28 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has won 15 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 50 of the 74 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 40-17.
  • They have a 21-13 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Padres vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Padres (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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