Ronald Acuna Jr. leads the Atlanta Braves (87-45) into a matchup versus Freddie Freeman and the Los Angeles Dodgers (83-49) at Dodger Stadium, Thursday at 10:10 PM ET. Acuna is hitting .334, fourth-best in the league, and Freeman is third at .338.
The Braves are a favorite (-145) at the Dodgers (+120). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article reference odds valid as of August 31, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Dodgers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -145 | +120 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 79, or 66.4%, of the 119 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta is 66-26 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 70 of its 132 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 71-61-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.8 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have won in 11, or 55%, of the 20 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Los Angeles has been victorious three times in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Dodgers have a 45.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 74 of its 131 opportunities.
- In 131 games with a line this season, the Dodgers have a mark of 73-58-0 against the spread.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 3.27 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider and his team have a record of 16-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in seven innings against the San Francisco Giants.
- Strider has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has made 26 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Strider’s team has a record of 21-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Strider’s team is 21-5 when he starts this season.
- Games Strider has started this season hit the over 15 times in 26 chances.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 57 | 53.1 | 62 | 4.05 | 15 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 56 | 53 | 77 | 4.58 | 8 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 50 | 51.2 | 68 | 2.79 | 8 | 2 |
| Brad Hand | 49 | 44.2 | 48 | 4.84 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 47 | 46.2 | 60 | 2.51 | 11 | 0 |
Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Lance Lynn
- Lynn makes the start for the Dodgers, his 27th of the season. He is 10-9 with a 5.56 ERA and 170 strikeouts in 150 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out was on Friday against the Boston Red Sox, when the righty went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
- Lynn will try to build upon a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 innings per appearance).
- He has had three appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Dodgers have been the moneyline underdog in 16 of Lynn’s starts this season, and they went 6-10 in those matchups.
- Lynn’s team is 13-13 over his 26 starts.
- Lynn’s starts hit the over on the run total 18 times in 26 games with a set total this season.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brusdar Graterol | 53 | 55.2 | 41 | 1.46 | 17 | 6 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 50 | 50 | 55 | 3.06 | 16 | 3 |
| Evan Phillips | 49 | 50 | 55 | 2.34 | 6 | 21 |
| Ryan Brasier | 45 | 49.1 | 45 | 3.65 | 8 | 2 |
| Alex Vesia | 43 | 37 | 52 | 5.11 | 9 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 54-18 this season in games when they send out at least two homers.
- Atlanta has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 35 games this season, and has gone 32-3 in those contests.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 92 times this season, and has a 66-26 record in those games.
- Atlanta is 69-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Braves have gone 27-12 in the 39 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- They are 51-16 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Los Angeles has gone 32-9 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 65 of the 87 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Los Angeles has a 69-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 56 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 40-16
Braves vs. Dodgers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (+120)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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