The Miami Marlins (66-67) and Washington Nationals (62-72) square off on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET, beginning a four-game series at Nationals Park.
The Nationals are an underdog (+130 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Marlins (-157). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of August 31, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -157 | +130 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 63 games this season and won 36 (57.1%) of those contests.
- This season Miami has won 18 of its 25 games, or 72%, when favored by at least -157 on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have a 61.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Miami’s games have gone over the total in 59 of its 133 chances.
- The Marlins are 57-76-0 against the spread in their 133 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 1.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.93 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 54, or 43.9%, of the 123 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has been victorious 44 times in 93 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 43.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 63 of its 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 133 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 74-59-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.08 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett’s team is 12-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings against the Washington Nationals.
- Garrett has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 26 chances this season.
- When Garrett starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 10-3.
- Garrett’s team has won 17 of his 24 starts this season.
- Games Garrett has started this season hit the over 12 times in 24 chances.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 55 | 61.2 | 84 | 2.48 | 24 | 3 |
| David Robertson | 51 | 55 | 59 | 3.27 | 7 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 48 | 46.1 | 62 | 2.91 | 12 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 47 | 47 | 35 | 6.13 | 7 | 3 |
| Steven Okert | 47 | 48.1 | 60 | 3.72 | 11 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Joan Adon
- Adon (2-0 with a 5.25 ERA and 20 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his fifth of the season.
- The righty’s most recent appearance was on Friday against the Miami Marlins, when he tossed six scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
- Adon has pitched five or more innings in a game two times this season entering this outing.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Nationals have played when named the moneyline underdog for three of Adon’s starts this season, and they won all of the games.
- Adon’s team has won all four of his starts this season.
- Adon has started four contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 56 | 58.2 | 57 | 2.91 | 8 | 25 |
| Hunter Harvey | 47 | 48.2 | 53 | 2.77 | 16 | 10 |
| Mason Thompson | 46 | 51.2 | 42 | 5.05 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 37 | 42.2 | 48 | 2.95 | 6 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 31 | 33.2 | 31 | 5.88 | 4 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 18-22 this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Miami is 22-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 54-44 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Miami is 45-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in 28 games this season, and are 16-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 23-10 in those matchups.
- Washington has won 17 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 50-38 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 44-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-10
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (+130)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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