Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 30, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (82-49) hope to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the Arizona Diamondbacks (69-64), at 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Dodgers are favored at home (-175) against the Diamondbacks (+145). The contest has a set total of 9.

The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of August 30, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -175 +145 9

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 70, or 63.6%, of the 110 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has entered 43 games this season favored by -175 or more and is 28-15 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 63.6% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 74 of 130 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 72-58-0 against the spread in their 130 chances this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 14
ERA 3.38
K/9 7.8

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 72 games this year and have walked away with the win 32 times (44.4%) in those games.
  • Arizona has a win-loss record of 8-8 when favored by +145 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 40.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Arizona and its opponents have gone over in 58 of its 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 73-60-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.4
HR 8
ERA 4.30
K/9 8.2

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Ryan Pepiot

  • Pepiot will make his first start this season in a game featuring a spread set by bookmakers.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw four innings, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits against the Cleveland Guardians.
  • This will be Pepiot’s first game as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Pepiot’s team won in his only start this season.
  • Pepiot will make his first start of the season in a game with a total set by oddsmakers.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Brusdar Graterol 53 55.2 41 1.46 17 6
Caleb Ferguson 50 50 55 3.06 16 3
Evan Phillips 49 50 55 2.34 6 21
Ryan Brasier 45 49.1 45 3.65 8 2
Alex Vesia 43 37 52 5.11 9 1

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt

  • Pfaadt (1-6) gets the starting nod for the Diamondbacks in his 14th start of the season. He has a 5.91 ERA in 67 2/3 innings pitched, with 60 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander tossed 5 1/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • Pfaadt will try to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • He has made one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Diamondbacks are 5-4 in Pfaadt’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Pfaadt’s team is 6-7 in his 13 starts.
  • Pfaadt’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of 13 contests.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Miguel Castro 59 53 44 5.26 12 7
Paul Sewald 56 52.2 72 3.25 0 28
Scott McGough 55 64 78 4.5 14 9
Kyle Nelson 54 48 59 3.19 10 0
Kevin Ginkel 49 54.1 54 2.32 6 4

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 50-16 record in games this season when they smash two or more homers.
  • Los Angeles is 32-9 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has notched eight or more hits 86 times this season, and has a 64-22 record in those games.
  • Los Angeles is 68-17 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn five or more walks in 56 games this season, and are 40-16 in those contests.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They are 28-13 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Arizona has won 19 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 63-31 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 77 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 59-18.
  • They have won 23 of their 46 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-175)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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