Rangers vs. Mets Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 30, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 30, 2023

The Texas Rangers (75-57) hope to sweep the New York Mets (60-73) on Wednesday at Citi Field, starting at 6:40 PM ET.

The Rangers are favored (-155 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Mets (+130). The game’s over/under is set at 9.5.

The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of August 30, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Mets Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -155 +130 9.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rangers have won 54 out of the 89 games, or 60.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Texas has entered 41 games this season favored by -155 or more and is 27-14 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.8% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
  • So far this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of 132 games with a total.
  • The Rangers have an ATS record of 73-59-0 in 132 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 12
ERA 5.04
K/9 9.6

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have won in 14, or 26.4%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, New York has won one of 14 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 43.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 54 of 134 chances this season.
  • In 134 games with a line this season, the Mets have a mark of 56-78-0 against the spread.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 13
ERA 4.03
K/9 9.7

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Dane Dunning

  • When Dunning starts, his team is 12-8-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed four innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
  • Dunning has 18 starts of five or more innings this season in 20 chances. He averages 4.9 innings per outing.
  • He has seven appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 28 chances this season.
  • When Dunning starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-5.
  • Dunning’s team has a 10-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Dunning has started this season hit the over eight times in 20 chances.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 52 71.2 72 3.77 7 1
Aroldis Chapman 49 50.1 91 2.50 13 4
Will Smith 49 47.2 46 4.15 7 22
Brock Burke 43 53.1 42 3.21 11 0
José Leclerc 41 43 47 2.51 4 2

Mets Probable Pitcher – Denyi Reyes

  • Reyes (0-2) gets the start for the Mets, his third of the season.
  • The righty last appeared on Saturday, Aug. 12 against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • He has made five appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Mets were named the moneyline underdog for two Reyes starts this season — they lost both.
  • His team has lost both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Reyes’ two starts with a total this season both went over.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 56 52 47 3.12 12 7
Brooks Raley 54 44.1 46 2.64 22 3
Drew Smith 51 46.2 55 4.05 11 2
Trevor Gott 50 46.2 53 4.82 8 1
Phil Bickford 49 56.2 67 5.72 4 1

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have a 45-17 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
  • Texas has gone 31-13 in its 44 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 70-36 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
  • Texas is 65-21 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn five or more walks in 47 games this season, and are 30-17 in those contests.

Mets Hitting Trends

  • They have won 27 of the 46 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • New York has won 16 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 70 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 47-23.
  • New York has a 45-18 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 16 of their 30 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rangers vs. Mets Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-155)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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