Bryce Harper leads the Philadelphia Phillies (73-58) into a matchup with Shohei Ohtani and the Los Angeles Angels (63-69) at Citizens Bank Park, on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Harper is at .307, the eighth-best average in the league, while Ohtani ranks ninth at .304.
The Angels are an away underdog (+150) at the Phillies (-182). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 29, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Angels Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -182 | +150 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have been favored 89 times and won 53, or 59.6%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has entered 29 games this season favored by -182 or more and is 18-11 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Phillies, based on the moneyline, is 64.5%.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 57 of its 131 chances.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 60-71-0 in 131 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.0 |
| HR | 25 |
| ERA | 3.34 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Angels Betting Insights
- The Angels have been underdogs in 63 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (42.9%) in those contests.
- This season, Los Angeles has been victorious two times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +150 or longer on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 40% chance of pulling out a win.
- Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of its 132 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Angels have posted a record of 61-71-0 against the spread this season.
Angels Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.56 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen
- Lorenzen’s team is 13-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- In 22 starts this season, Lorenzen has lasted five or more innings 20 times, with an average of 6.0 innings per appearance.
- He has made 22 appearances and finished seven of them without allowing an earned run.
- When Lorenzen starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-4.
- Lorenzen’s team has won 10 of his 22 starts.
- Games Lorenzen has started this season hit the over 11 times in 22 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 58 | 56 | 74 | 3.21 | 4 | 21 |
| Gregory Soto | 55 | 49.2 | 48 | 4.53 | 17 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 43 | 36 | 35 | 4.00 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 38 | 39.2 | 52 | 2.72 | 5 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 35 | 76 | 95 | 3.32 | 6 | 1 |
Angels Probable Pitcher – Tyler Anderson
- Anderson (5-5) gets the starting nod for the Angels in his 22nd start of the season. He has a 5.35 ERA in 117 2/3 innings pitched, with 100 strikeouts.
- His most recent time out was out of the bullpen on Wednesday when the left-hander threw 4 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Anderson will try to pick up his 16th outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance.
- He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Angels are 5-5 in Anderson’s 10 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Anderson’s 21 starts, his team is 11-10.
- Anderson’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 13 of 21 games.
Angels Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo López | 52 | 53.2 | 71 | 3.86 | 14 | 6 |
| Carlos Estévez | 51 | 53 | 65 | 3.40 | 2 | 28 |
| Aaron Loup | 47 | 40.2 | 37 | 5.53 | 8 | 1 |
| Dominic Leone | 40 | 42.2 | 44 | 4.64 | 3 | 1 |
| Matt Moore | 39 | 43 | 47 | 2.30 | 20 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 36-10 record in games this season when they smash at least two home runs.
- Philadelphia is 30-9 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 58-31 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 53-11 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 45 games this season, and are 32-13 in those contests.
Angels Hitting Trends
- They are 33-17 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Los Angeles has gone 22-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 47-36 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Los Angeles has won 46 of its 65 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 20-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Angels Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-182)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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