The Washington Nationals (61-69) will try to keep a three-game win streak going when they visit the Miami Marlins (65-65) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday.
The Marlins are favored (-199 moneyline odds) when they take the field at home against the Nationals (+166). The matchup has an over/under set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of August 27, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -199 | +166 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have won 35 out of the 61 games, or 57.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Miami has a record of 4-5, a 44.4% win rate, when favored by -199 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.6% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of 130 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 57-73-0 ATS in their 130 games with a spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 53 wins in the 119 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 23 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least +166 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 37.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of its 129 opportunities.
- The Nationals have an against the spread mark of 72-57-0 in 129 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – JT Chargois
- Chargois and his team were 2-1-0 ATS in his three appearances with a spread last season.
- The 32-year-old righty will start for the first time this season after pitching in relief 32 times.
- Chargois appeared in one game with his team as the moneyline favorite last season and won.
- His team finished with a record of 2-1 in games he pitched last season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 53 | 59 | 83 | 2.59 | 24 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 50 | 54 | 57 | 3.00 | 7 | 19 |
| Andrew Nardi | 46 | 44.1 | 60 | 3.05 | 11 | 2 |
| Jorge López | 46 | 45 | 33 | 5.80 | 7 | 3 |
| Steven Okert | 45 | 46.2 | 59 | 3.47 | 10 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams
- Williams (6-7 with a 4.95 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 123 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his 26th of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he tossed six scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
- Williams has put together 17 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has made four appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Nationals are 10-12 in Williams’ 22 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Williams’ team has won 13 of his 25 starts.
- Williams has had 24 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 10 of those matchups finished over the total.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 55 | 57.2 | 56 | 2.81 | 8 | 24 |
| Hunter Harvey | 46 | 47.1 | 53 | 2.66 | 15 | 10 |
| Mason Thompson | 44 | 49 | 40 | 5.14 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 36 | 41.2 | 47 | 3.02 | 6 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 29 | 29.2 | 29 | 6.07 | 4 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have put up at least two homers in 40 games this season, and are 18-22 in those contests.
- Miami has gone 22-2 in its 24 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 97 times this season, and has a 54-43 record in those games.
- Miami has a 45-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 16-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 22-10 in those matchups.
- Washington has won 17 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 87 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 49-38.
- Washington has won 43 of its 55 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-10
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-199)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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