Teoscar Hernandez leads the Seattle Mariners (73-56) into a matchup against the Kansas City Royals (41-90) a game after homering twice in a 15-2 victory over the Royals. It starts at 4:10 PM ET on Sunday.
The Mariners are heavily favored at home (-320) versus the Royals (+253). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting trends in the article below reflect odds as of August 27, 2023 at 3:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -320 | +253 | 8 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been favorites in 87 games this season and won 51 (58.6%) of those contests.
- Seattle has played as favorites of -320 or more once this season and won that game.
- The Mariners have a 76.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of 129 opportunities.
- The Mariners are 66-63-0 against the spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.7 |
| HR | 22 |
| ERA | 3.30 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 36, or 31.3%, of the 115 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Kansas City has played as an underdog of +253 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 28.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Kansas City has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 131 chances this season.
- The Royals have an against the spread record of 57-74-0 in 131 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.79 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo’s team is 10-16-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Chicago White Sox.
- Castillo has pitched five or more innings in 26 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished seven appearances without allowing an earned run in 26 chances this season.
- Castillo’s team is 13-9 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Castillo’s team is 14-12 when he starts this season.
- Out of Castillo’s 26 starts with a total this season, 15 have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 62 | 55 | 88 | 3.6 | 17 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 57 | 52.1 | 48 | 2.06 | 21 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 54 | 44.1 | 50 | 3.25 | 14 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 40 | 39 | 38 | 3.23 | 3 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 38 | 36.2 | 50 | 2.7 | 13 | 9 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Alec Marsh
- Marsh (0-6 with a 5.56 ERA and 50 strikeouts in 43 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Royals, his seventh of the season.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Tuesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Marsh will look to extend a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.3 innings per appearance).
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Royals were the moneyline underdog for six Marsh starts this season — they lost every game.
- All six of Marsh’s starts this season have ended in defeat for his team.
- Marsh has had six starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those outings.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 48 | 61 | 73 | 4.28 | 12 | 3 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 25 | 40 | 38 | 6.53 | 0 | 2 |
| Austin Cox | 17 | 32 | 28 | 4.22 | 4 | 1 |
| Cole Ragans | 16 | 59 | 71 | 3.81 | 3 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have a 37-10 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Seattle has gone 24-1 in its 25 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 59-24 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Seattle is 62-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in 45 games this season, and are 32-13 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 30 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-16.
- They have a record of 30-43 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Kansas City has a 27-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-11
Mariners vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-320)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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