The Philadelphia Phillies (71-58) aim to finish off a sweep of a three-game series versus the St. Louis Cardinals (56-74), at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.
The Phillies are a home favorite (-209) against the Cardinals (+173). The matchup has an over/under set at 9 total runs.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of August 27, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -209 | +173 | 9 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- This season, the Phillies have won 51 out of the 87 games, or 58.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Philadelphia has a record of 11-5 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -209 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.6% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 129 games with a total this season.
- In 129 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 58-71-0 ATS.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.1 |
| HR | 24 |
| ERA | 3.58 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 24 times (42.1%) in those games.
- St. Louis has played as an underdog of +173 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 36.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 62 of its 129 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cardinals are 59-70-0 against the spread in their 129 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 7.33 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola’s team is 11-15-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw seven innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Nola will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- He has finished two appearances without allowing an earned run in 26 chances this season.
- Nola’s team is 11-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Nola’s team has won 14 of his 26 starts this season.
- Games Nola has started this season hit the over 15 times in 26 chances.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 56 | 54 | 73 | 3.33 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 54 | 48.2 | 47 | 4.62 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 43 | 36 | 35 | 4.00 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 37 | 39 | 52 | 2.77 | 4 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 34 | 75.1 | 94 | 3.23 | 5 | 1 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Drew Rom
- The Cardinals will look to Rom (0-1) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Monday, the left-hander threw 3 2/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing six earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- The Cardinals have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Rom starts this season.
- His team has lost the only game he’s appeared in this season.
- Rom’s only start with a total this season went over.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanny Gallegos | 47 | 48.2 | 48 | 4.44 | 16 | 9 |
| Andre Pallante | 45 | 52.1 | 39 | 5.16 | 11 | 0 |
| JoJo Romero | 25 | 33 | 37 | 3.55 | 3 | 3 |
| John King | 21 | 26.1 | 14 | 4.44 | 5 | 0 |
| Zack Thompson | 16 | 35 | 44 | 3.86 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 35-10 record in games this season when they smash two or more homers.
- Philadelphia has had five or more extra-base hits in 39 games this season, and has gone 30-9 in those outings.
- The club has collected at least eight hits 88 times this season, and has a 57-31 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 52-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 44 games this season, and are 31-13 in those contests.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 38 of the 60 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has gone 30-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 55 of the 88 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- St. Louis has won 50 of its 63 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 40 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-23
Phillies vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-209)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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