Mitch Garver carries a two-game homer streak into the Texas Rangers’ (73-56) game against the Minnesota Twins (67-63) at 2:10 PM ET on Sunday, at Target Field.
As the favorite, the Rangers (-122 on the moneyline to win) visit the Twins (+103). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of August 27, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -122 | +103 | 8.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have won 52, or 60.5%, of the 86 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Texas has a record of 46-30 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -122 on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have a 55% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 64 of its 129 chances.
- In 129 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 73-56-0 ATS.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.73 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have come away with 15 wins in the 42 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Minnesota has won 13 of 31 games when listed as at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Minnesota has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 62 of 130 chances this season.
- The Twins have an against the spread record of 61-69-0 in 130 games with a line this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery
- When Montgomery starts, his team is 10-15-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander did not allow a run in eight innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Montgomery has pitched five or more innings in seven straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 25 chances this season.
- Montgomery’s team has been victorious in 38.1% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-13.
- Montgomery’s team has a 9-16 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Montgomery’s 25 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 50 | 69.1 | 69 | 3.76 | 6 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 47 | 48.1 | 87 | 2.23 | 13 | 3 |
| Will Smith | 47 | 46.1 | 45 | 4.27 | 5 | 22 |
| Brock Burke | 41 | 51.1 | 40 | 3.33 | 10 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 39 | 41.1 | 44 | 2.61 | 3 | 1 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober (6-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 116 strikeouts in 118 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his 22nd of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, the right-hander went five innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
- Ober is seeking his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 innings per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in three of his 21 outings this season.
- The Twins have been the moneyline underdog in six of Ober’s starts this season, and they went 4-2 in those games.
- Ober’s team has compiled a 12-9 record in his 21 starts.
- Ober has started 21 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 57 | 53.2 | 52 | 3.86 | 19 | 2 |
| Emilio Pagán | 51 | 55.2 | 51 | 3.23 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 50 | 48.2 | 49 | 4.99 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 48 | 51.1 | 71 | 2.63 | 1 | 23 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 22 | 19.2 | 21 | 2.75 | 10 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have a 45-16 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
- Texas is 31-13 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 104 games this season, and is 69-35 in those contests.
- Texas has a 65-20 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Rangers have gone 29-17 over the 46 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They have won 50 of the 65 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Minnesota has won 37 of its 45 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 57 of the 77 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Minnesota has a 61-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 27 of their 40 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rangers vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Twins (+103)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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