The Seattle Mariners (72-56) will look to Julio Rodriguez, currently on a 10-game hitting streak, against the Kansas City Royals (41-89) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday, at T-Mobile Park.
The Royals (+212 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Mariners (-264). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 26, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -264 | +212 | 8.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have won 50, or 58.1%, of the 86 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Seattle has won three of its four games when favored by at least -264 on the moneyline.
- The Mariners have a 72.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 65 of its 128 chances.
- The Mariners have an ATS record of 65-63-0 in 128 games with a spread this season.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.2 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 3.56 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 114 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (31.6%) in those games.
- This season, Kansas City has come away with a win three times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +212 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 32.1% chance of pulling out a win.
- Kansas City’s games have gone over the total in 64 of its 130 opportunities.
- The Royals are 57-73-0 against the spread in their 130 games that had a posted line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.92 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Logan Gilbert
- Gilbert and his team are 13-12-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed eight hits in six innings against the Houston Astros.
- Gilbert has started 25 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 21 times. He averages 5.9 innings per appearance.
- He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 25 chances this season.
- Gilbert’s team has been victorious in 47.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 9-10.
- Gilbert’s team is 15-10 when he starts this season.
- In games Gilbert has started this season, the teams are 13-11-1 at hitting the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 62 | 55 | 88 | 3.60 | 17 | 4 |
| Justin Topa | 57 | 52.1 | 48 | 2.06 | 21 | 2 |
| Gabe Speier | 54 | 44.1 | 50 | 3.25 | 14 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 40 | 39 | 38 | 3.23 | 3 | 1 |
| Andres Munoz | 38 | 36.2 | 50 | 2.70 | 13 | 9 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- The Royals will send Lyles (3-14) to the mound for his 25th start of the season. He is 3-14 with a 6.07 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 139 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, the right-hander went eight innings, giving up four earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Lyles will look to prolong a 16-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per outing).
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Royals have a 3-19 record in Lyles’ 22 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Lyles’ 24 starts, his team is 3-21.
- Lyles’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 12 of 24 games.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Hernandez | 48 | 61 | 73 | 4.28 | 12 | 3 |
| Amir Garrett | 25 | 24.1 | 28 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Tucker Davidson | 24 | 39 | 37 | 6.23 | 0 | 2 |
| Austin Cox | 17 | 32 | 28 | 4.22 | 4 | 1 |
| Cole Ragans | 16 | 59 | 71 | 3.81 | 3 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners have racked up two or more long balls in 46 games this season, and are 36-10 in those outings.
- Seattle is 23-1 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 82 games this season, and is 58-24 in those contests.
- Seattle has a 61-8 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in 44 games this season, and are 31-13 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 33 games this season and are 16-17 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 14-16 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 30 of the 73 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Kansas City has won 27 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 5-11
Mariners vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-264)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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