Angels vs. Mets Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 26, 2023

The New York Mets (59-70) will look to Francisco Lindor, riding an 11-game hitting streak, versus the Los Angeles Angels (62-67) at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday, at Citi Field.

The Angels are favored (-116) in a projected tight game against the Mets (-104). The total in the game is set at 9 total runs.

The betting insights in the article below reference odds valid as of August 26, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Angels vs Mets Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Angels -116 -104 9

Angels Betting Insights

  • This season, the Angels have won 35 out of the 68 games, or 51.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 32-31, a 50.8% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Angels.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 65 of 129 opportunities.
  • The Angels are 60-69-0 against the spread in their 129 chances this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 11
ERA 6.07
K/9 10.0

Mets Betting Insights

  • The Mets have come away with 14 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, New York has been victorious 10 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • New York and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 130 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mets have posted a record of 53-77-0 against the spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 19
ERA 4.03
K/9 9.1

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Angels Probable Pitcher – Chase Silseth

  • Silseth and his team are 4-2-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, Aug. 19, when he tossed 3 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Silseth has made four starts of five or more innings in six chances this season, and averages 3.2 frames when he pitches.
  • He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
  • Silseth’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
  • Silseth’s team has won four of his six starts this season.
  • In Silseth’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Reynaldo López 51 53.2 71 3.69 14 6
Carlos Estévez 50 52 65 3.46 2 27
Aaron Loup 45 38.1 34 5.87 8 1
Matt Moore 38 42 45 2.14 20 0
Dominic Leone 38 40 42 4.50 2 1

Mets Probable Pitcher – Carlos Carrasco

  • The Mets will send Carrasco (3-7) out for his 20th start of the season. He is 3-7 with a 6.42 ERA and 65 strikeouts in 88 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander tossed four innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Carrasco is looking to secure his 10th start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • He has made one appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Mets have been the underdog on the moneyline in 11 of Carrasco’s starts this season, and they went 2-9 in those games.
  • Carrasco’s team has a 7-12 record in his starts this season.
  • Carrasco’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 19 games.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Adam Ottavino 54 50 46 3.24 12 7
Brooks Raley 52 43 46 2.51 21 3
Trevor Gott 49 45.2 50 4.53 8 1
Drew Smith 48 43.2 51 3.92 11 2
Phil Bickford 47 53.1 63 5.91 4 1

Angels Hitting Trends

  • The Angels have a 33-17 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Los Angeles is 21-8 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 81 games this season, and is 46-35 in those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 45-19 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Angels have drawn five or more walks in 34 games this season, and are 20-14 in those contests.

Mets Hitting Trends

  • They are 27-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • New York has gone 16-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 46-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • New York has won 45 of its 63 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 16-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Angels vs. Mets Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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