Rays vs. Yankees Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 26, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 26, 2023

DJ LeMahieu leads the New York Yankees (62-66) into a contest versus the Tampa Bay Rays (78-52), a game after homering twice in a 6-2 victory over the Rays, at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday.

The Yankees are an underdog (+152 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Rays (-183). The matchup has an over/under set at 7 total runs.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of August 26, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Yankees Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -183 +152 7

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays have been favorites in 107 games this season and won 69 (64.5%) of those contests.
  • This season Tampa Bay has won 32 of its 42 games, or 76.2%, when favored by at least -183 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 64.7% chance of a victory for the Rays.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 69 of its 130 chances.
  • In 130 games with a spread this season, the Rays are 69-61-0 ATS.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 7.4
HR 17
ERA 4.10
K/9 10.1

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won in 19, or 39.6%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • New York has a mark of 1-5 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +152 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Yankees have a 39.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Contests with New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 60 of 128 chances this season.
  • In 128 games with a line this season, the Yankees have a mark of 62-66-0 against the spread.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 15
ERA 4.66
K/9 8.5

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow

  • Glasnow and his team have a record of 10-4-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in six innings pitched against the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday.
  • Glasnow has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
  • When Glasnow starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-6.
  • Glasnow’s team has won eight of his 14 starts.
  • Out of Glasnow’s 14 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 51 52 67 2.77 10 10
Jake Diekman 50 44.1 47 4.26 7 0
Colin Poche 50 46.1 43 2.53 15 1
Robert Stephenson 45 39.2 56 3.86 8 0
Pete Fairbanks 35 31.2 41 2.56 2 16

Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt

  • Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees, his 26th of the season. He is 8-7 with a 4.68 ERA and 121 strikeouts in 123 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Schmidt is looking to secure his 18th start of five or more innings this season in this matchup.
  • He has had five appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Yankees are 3-5 in Schmidt’s eight starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Schmidt’s team is 11-14 over his 25 starts.
  • Schmidt has started 25 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 10 of them.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 51 46.1 43 3.30 14 4
Clay Holmes 49 48 55 2.63 5 16
Keynan Middleton 47 47.1 61 3.23 5 2
Albert Abreu 41 55 55 4.75 3 0
Michael King 39 69 82 3.13 8 6

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays are 43-15 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 29-3 in its 32 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 60-28 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Tampa Bay is 59-19 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 31 games this season, and are 23-8 in those contests.

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 68 games this season and are 50-18 in those matchups.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-4.
  • In 78 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 50-28.
  • New York has a 47-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 21 of their 39 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rays vs. Yankees Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-183)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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