The Arizona Diamondbacks (67-61) will look to Tommy Pham, currently on a 14-game hitting streak, versus the Cincinnati Reds (67-62) at 9:40 PM ET on Friday, at Chase Field.
The Reds (+123 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Diamondbacks (-148). The contest has a set total of 9.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 25, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -148 | +123 | 9 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 56 times and won 34, or 60.7%, of those games.
- Arizona has a record of 19-9, a 67.9% win rate, when favored by -148 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 128 games with a total this season.
- In 128 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 71-57-0 ATS.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.50 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 47 wins in the 95 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 28 times in 58 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 64 of its 129 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 129 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 78-51-0 against the spread.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.60 |
| K/9 | 8.7 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt
- Pfaadt and his team are 7-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Pfaadt has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 12 chances this season.
- Pfaadt and his team have lost each of the three games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Pfaadt’s team has a 5-7 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Pfaadt have a 2-9-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Castro | 57 | 52 | 43 | 5.02 | 12 | 7 |
| Paul Sewald | 55 | 52 | 72 | 2.94 | 0 | 28 |
| Kyle Nelson | 53 | 47 | 59 | 3.26 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott McGough | 52 | 60.1 | 74 | 4.48 | 13 | 9 |
| Kevin Ginkel | 47 | 52.2 | 51 | 2.22 | 5 | 3 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene makes the start for the Reds, his 16th of the season. He is 2-5 with a 4.72 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Sunday, the righty tossed three innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, giving up eight earned runs while surrendering 10 hits.
- Greene will try to pick up his 11th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 5.1 innings per appearance.
- He has made three appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Greene’s starts this season, and they went 4-6 in those games.
- Greene’s team has a 5-10 record in his starts this season.
- Greene has had 15 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those outings hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 56 | 60 | 54 | 3.15 | 19 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 56 | 49 | 45 | 3.31 | 13 | 1 |
| Buck Farmer | 56 | 61 | 55 | 3.84 | 10 | 2 |
| Alexis Diaz | 55 | 55.2 | 76 | 2.26 | 1 | 34 |
| Sam Moll | 52 | 48 | 58 | 3.94 | 7 | 1 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks are 28-13 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Arizona is 19-7 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 90 times this season, and has a 61-29 record in those games.
- Arizona is 57-17 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks are 21-22 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 33-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 35 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-8.
- They have won 59 of the 83 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has won 64 of its 76 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 20 of their 40 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Diamondbacks vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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