The Tampa Bay Rays (78-51) and New York Yankees (61-66) will look for continued power from sluggers on a roll when the teams square off on Friday at 6:40 PM ET, at Tropicana Field. Isaac Paredes is riding a two-game homer streak for the Rays, and Aaron Judge has also homered in two straight for the Yankees.
The Yankees are an underdog away (+112) versus the Rays (-133). The game’s over/under is set at 7.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 25, 2023 at 3:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rays vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | -133 | +112 | 7 |
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have been favored 106 times and won 69, or 65.1%, of those games.
- This season Tampa Bay has won 57 of its 81 games, or 70.4%, when favored by at least -133 on the moneyline.
- The Rays have a 57.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 68 of 129 opportunities.
- The Rays are 69-60-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.4 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 47 games this year and have walked away with the win 18 times (38.3%) in those games.
- This season, New York has been victorious 12 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 59 of its 127 opportunities.
- The Yankees are 61-66-0 against the spread in their 127 games that had a posted line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 1-9 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.34 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin’s team is 12-12-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on four hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
- Eflin has made 20 starts of five or more innings in 24 chances this season, and averages 5.8 frames when he pitches.
- He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 24 chances this season.
- Eflin’s team has won 73.9% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (17-6).
- Eflin’s team has won 17 of his 24 starts this season.
- Games Eflin has started this season hit the over 11 times in 24 chances.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 51 | 52 | 67 | 2.77 | 10 | 10 |
| Colin Poche | 50 | 46.1 | 43 | 2.53 | 15 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 49 | 43.1 | 46 | 4.36 | 7 | 0 |
| Robert Stephenson | 45 | 39.2 | 56 | 3.86 | 8 | 0 |
| Pete Fairbanks | 35 | 31.2 | 41 | 2.56 | 2 | 16 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole
- The Yankees will send Cole (10-4) to the mound to make his 27th start of the season. He is 10-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 170 strikeouts through 160 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent outing on Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, the righty tossed four innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
- Cole has 24 starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- In five of his appearances this season he has not give up an earned run.
- The Yankees were named the moneyline underdog for two Cole starts this season — they lost both.
- Cole’s team has compiled a 16-10 record in his 26 starts.
- Cole has had 26 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 10 of those games.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 51 | 46.1 | 43 | 3.3 | 14 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 49 | 48 | 55 | 2.63 | 5 | 16 |
| Keynan Middleton | 47 | 47.1 | 61 | 3.23 | 5 | 2 |
| Albert Abreu | 41 | 55 | 55 | 4.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 39 | 69 | 82 | 3.13 | 8 | 6 |
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 43-15 this season in games when they hit at least two long balls.
- Tampa Bay is 29-3 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits in 88 games this season, and is 60-28 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has a 59-19 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Rays are 23-8 over the 31 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 67 games this season and are 49-18 in those matchups.
- New York has won 14 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 49-28 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 62 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 46-16.
- In 39 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-18
Rays vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-133)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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