The Miami Marlins (65-63) and Washington Nationals (59-69) clash in NL East play, on Friday at 6:40 PM ET.
The Nationals are an underdog (+179 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Marlins (-217). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of August 25, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -217 | +179 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- This season, the Marlins have won 35 out of the 59 games, or 59.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Miami has entered six games this season favored by -217 or more and is 3-3 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 68.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of 128 games with a total.
- The Marlins are 57-71-0 against the spread in their 128 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 51 wins in the 117 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 14 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +179 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 35.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of its 127 opportunities.
- The Nationals are 70-57-0 against the spread in their 127 games that had a posted line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.46 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett’s team is 12-11-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
- Garrett has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 25 chances this season.
- Garrett’s team is 10-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Garrett’s team has won 17 of his 23 starts this season.
- Games started by Garrett have an 11-12-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 52 | 58 | 82 | 2.64 | 24 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 49 | 53 | 56 | 2.89 | 7 | 19 |
| Jorge López | 45 | 44.1 | 33 | 5.68 | 7 | 3 |
| Andrew Nardi | 45 | 43.1 | 58 | 3.12 | 11 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 44 | 46 | 59 | 2.93 | 10 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Joan Adon
- Adon (1-0 with a 7.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his fourth of the season.
- His most recent time out came on Friday, Aug. 18 against the Philadelphia Phillies, when the righty threw four innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up six hits.
- Adon is looking to collect his second start of five or more innings this season in this game.
- In one of his five total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Nationals were the underdog on the moneyline for two Adon starts this season — they won both.
- Adon’s team has won all three of his starts this season.
- Adon’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of three contests.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Finnegan | 54 | 56.2 | 56 | 2.86 | 8 | 23 |
| Hunter Harvey | 45 | 46.1 | 52 | 2.72 | 15 | 9 |
| Mason Thompson | 43 | 49 | 40 | 4.41 | 10 | 1 |
| Jordan Weems | 35 | 41 | 47 | 2.85 | 6 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 29 | 29.2 | 29 | 6.07 | 4 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins are 18-21 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
- Miami has collected five or more extra-base hits in 24 games this season, and has gone 22-2 in those outings.
- The team is 54-42 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Miami is 45-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Marlins have drawn five or more walks in 28 games this season, and are 16-12 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 22-10 in those matchups.
- In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-4.
- They have a record of 48-38 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Washington has a 42-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 15-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-217)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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