The Houston Astros (72-57) visit the Detroit Tigers (58-69) to open a three-game series at Comerica Park, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Friday. The Astros are coming off a series split with the Red Sox, and the Tigers a series loss to the Cubs.
The Tigers are an underdog at home (+149) versus the Astros (-180). The game’s total is 9.
The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of August 25, 2023 at 3:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Tigers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -180 | +149 | 9 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have entered the game as favorites 93 times this season and won 51, or 54.8%, of those games.
- Houston is 20-10 this season when entering a game favored by -180 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 64.3%.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 66 of 129 opportunities.
- The Astros have an ATS record of 63-66-0 in 129 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 6.10 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Tigers Betting Insights
- The Tigers have been victorious in 46, or 43.4%, of the 106 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win 21 times in 43 chances when named as an underdog of at least +149 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 40.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 64 of its 128 opportunities.
- The Tigers have an against the spread mark of 69-59-0 in 128 games with a line this season.
Tigers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Framber Valdez
- When Valdez starts, his team is 10-14-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed 10 hits in five innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Saturday.
- Valdez will look to finish five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 24 chances this season.
- Valdez’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (11-11).
- Valdez’s team has won 13 of his 24 starts this season.
- Games Valdez has started this season hit the over 13 times in 24 chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 58 | 59 | 85 | 2.14 | 21 | 4 |
| Kendall Graveman | 55 | 56.1 | 56 | 3.36 | 10 | 8 |
| Héctor Neris | 54 | 52.2 | 62 | 2.05 | 25 | 2 |
| Rafael Montero | 53 | 54.1 | 64 | 5.47 | 7 | 1 |
| Ryan Pressly | 53 | 55.1 | 60 | 2.77 | 0 | 28 |
Tigers Probable Pitcher – Matt Manning
- Manning (5-4 with a 4.31 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 64 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Tigers, his 13th of the season.
- In his last appearance on Saturday, the right-hander threw six innings against the Cleveland Guardians, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Manning is seeking his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 innings per start.
- He has made three appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Tigers have a 5-6 record in Manning’s 11 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Manning’s team is 6-6 over his 12 starts.
- Manning has started 12 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in seven of them.
Tigers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Foley | 54 | 55.1 | 49 | 2.6 | 20 | 7 |
| Alex Lange | 50 | 49.2 | 63 | 3.62 | 5 | 19 |
| José Cisnero | 50 | 46.2 | 54 | 4.82 | 13 | 2 |
| Tyler Holton | 43 | 66.2 | 61 | 1.62 | 9 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 37 | 44.2 | 40 | 2.62 | 2 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have hit at least two round-trippers in 43 games this season, and are 32-11 in those contests.
- Houston has gone 20-7 in its 27 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled at least eight hits 89 times this season, and has a 66-23 record in those games.
- Houston is 61-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros are 33-8 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Tigers Hitting Trends
- They are 25-11 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Detroit has gone 20-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 76 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 54-22.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 43-14.
- They have won 18 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Astros vs. Tigers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-180)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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