The Milwaukee Brewers (70-57) ride a five-game winning streak into a home matchup versus the San Diego Padres (61-67) at 8:10 PM ET on Friday.
The Brewers (-115 moneyline odds to win) and the Padres (-105) will square off in a projected tight matchup. The total in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The insights in this article use the latest odds as of August 25, 2023 at 7:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Padres Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -115 | -105 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 38 (57.6%) of those contests.
- Milwaukee is 35-24 this season when entering a game favored by -115 or more on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 56 of its 127 games with a total this season.
- The Brewers are 61-66-0 against the spread in their 127 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have been victorious in nine, or 32.1%, of the 28 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- San Diego has a win-loss record of 9-16 when favored by -105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The Padres have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over in 50 of its 128 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 128 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 61-67-0 against the spread.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Brandon Woodruff
- Woodruff’s team is 3-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed three hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Texas Rangers.
- Woodruff has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In five appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Woodruff’s team has a record of 3-1 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Woodruff’s team has won four of his five starts this season.
- In Woodruff’s five starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 57 | 51.2 | 47 | 2.44 | 13 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 54 | 58.1 | 66 | 1.85 | 22 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 50 | 48.1 | 72 | 1.49 | 0 | 30 |
| Elvis Peguero | 49 | 51.2 | 45 | 3.66 | 17 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 47 | 39.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 12 | 8 |
Padres Probable Pitcher – Yu Darvish
- Darvish (8-9) gets the starting nod for the Padres in his 24th start of the season. He has a 4.35 ERA in 132 1/3 innings pitched, with 138 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Sunday, the righty tossed five innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up four earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- Darvish is looking for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.7 innings per start.
- He has had four appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Padres have been the moneyline underdog in four of Darvish’s starts this season, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
- Darvish’s team is 9-14 over his 23 starts.
- Darvish has had 23 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 11 of those games.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 50 | 52.2 | 57 | 3.25 | 22 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 47 | 44.2 | 71 | 0.81 | 0 | 27 |
| Nick Martínez | 46 | 89 | 81 | 3.94 | 15 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 46 | 45.2 | 44 | 4.73 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 45 | 50.1 | 59 | 5.36 | 1 | 13 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have hit two or more round-trippers in 49 games this season, and are 40-9 in those outings.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 15 games this season when putting up five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits 67 times this season, and has a 49-18 record in those games.
- Milwaukee is 57-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Brewers are 32-11 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Padres Hitting Trends
- They have won 30 of the 53 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- San Diego has gone 23-8 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 47-21 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- San Diego has won 50 of its 59 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 29-22 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Brewers vs. Padres Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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