Justin Steele’s Chicago Cubs (66-60) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (57-70) on Thursday at PNC Park, as he looks to pick up his 15th win of the year. The matchup begins at 7:05 PM ET.
The Cubs are a favorite (-184) against the Pirates (+151). The contest has a set total of 9.
The betting trends in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 24, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -184 | +151 | 9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 37, or 57.8%, of those games.
- Chicago has entered eight games this season favored by -184 or more and is 5-3 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 64.8% chance to win.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 66 of its 126 chances.
- The Cubs have an ATS record of 61-65-0 in 126 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 5.01 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have come away with 42 wins in the 101 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Pittsburgh has a mark of 14-12 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +151 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 39.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Contests with Pittsburgh has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 68 of 127 chances this season.
- The Pirates have an against the spread mark of 62-65-0 in 127 games with a line this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.55 |
| K/9 | 10.8 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Steele
- When Steele starts, his team is 13-10-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on six hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
- Steele has 11 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 23 chances this season.
- Steele’s team has a record of 10-3 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Steele’s team is 16-7 when he starts this season.
- Out of Steele’s 23 starts with a total this season, 13 have hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 54 | 56.2 | 78 | 3.49 | 13 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 54 | 54.1 | 70 | 2.82 | 23 | 4 |
| Michael Fulmer | 52 | 55.1 | 62 | 4.55 | 11 | 1 |
| Jose Cuas | 51 | 50.1 | 58 | 3.93 | 6 | 0 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 48 | 56.2 | 61 | 2.70 | 7 | 19 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rob Zastryzny
- Zastryzny will start for the Pirates, his first of the season.
- It’s the first appearance this season for the 31-year-old southpaw, and his first outing in more than a year.
- Zastryzny and his team were underdogs on the moneyline every time he pitched a season ago.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bednar | 49 | 52 | 61 | 2.08 | 0 | 27 |
| Colin Holderman | 45 | 44 | 51 | 3.27 | 21 | 2 |
| Jose Hernandez | 38 | 39.2 | 50 | 3.86 | 5 | 0 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 26 | 34.1 | 31 | 3.67 | 3 | 0 |
| Ryan Borucki | 21 | 26.1 | 26 | 3.76 | 3 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs are 33-19 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
- Chicago has gone 21-3 in its 24 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 58-24 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
- Chicago is 51-15 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Cubs have gone 24-18 over the 42 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 32 games this season and are 23-9 in those matchups.
- Pittsburgh has won 20 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 41 of the 61 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 47 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 37-10.
- They have won 19 of their 39 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Cubs vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-184)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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