The AL Central-leading Minnesota Twins (65-62) host the AL West-leading Texas Rangers (72-54) at 7:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The Rangers are road underdogs (+104) at the Twins (-124). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of August 24, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Rangers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -124 | +104 | 8.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have entered the game as favorites 85 times this season and won 50, or 58.8%, of those games.
- Minnesota has a record of 44-29, a 60.3% win rate, when favored by -124 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The Twins have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 59 of 127 games with a total.
- In 127 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 59-68-0 ATS.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been underdogs in 41 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (51.2%) in those contests.
- This season, Texas has been victorious nine times in 26 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 61 of its 126 opportunities.
- In 126 games with a line this season, the Rangers have a mark of 72-54-0 against the spread.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.90 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez’s team is 11-14-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Lopez has 16 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to four.
- Lopez’s team has a record of 14-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Lopez has started, his team is 15-10.
- Games Lopez has started this season hit the over 12 times in 25 chances.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 55 | 52.1 | 50 | 3.27 | 19 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 50 | 54.2 | 51 | 3.29 | 8 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 49 | 48 | 49 | 5.06 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 47 | 50.1 | 69 | 2.68 | 1 | 23 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 21 | 18.2 | 20 | 2.41 | 10 | 0 |
Rangers Probable Pitcher – Andrew Heaney
- Heaney will aim to grab his 10th win when he makes the start for the Rangers, his 25th of the season. He is 9-6 with a 4.27 ERA and 122 strikeouts in 118 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent time out came on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the lefty threw 3 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Heaney is trying to secure his 18th start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- In seven of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Rangers have a 4-3 record in Heaney’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Heaney’s team has a 14-10 record in his starts this season.
- Heaney has started 24 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 14 of them.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Stratton | 49 | 67.2 | 67 | 3.72 | 6 | 1 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 46 | 47.1 | 86 | 2.28 | 13 | 3 |
| Will Smith | 46 | 45.1 | 45 | 4.17 | 5 | 22 |
| Brock Burke | 40 | 50.1 | 39 | 3.40 | 10 | 0 |
| José Leclerc | 38 | 40.1 | 42 | 2.68 | 2 | 1 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit at least two long balls in 62 games this season, and are 47-15 in those outings.
- Minnesota is 34-8 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits 74 times this season, and has a 54-20 record in those games.
- Minnesota has a 58-12 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have gone 25-13 in the 38 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rangers Hitting Trends
- They are 44-15 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 44 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 31-13.
- They have won 68 of the 101 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 83 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 64-19.
- In 45 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 28-17
Twins vs. Rangers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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