Phillies vs. Giants Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 23, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 23, 2023

The Philadelphia Phillies (69-57) will look for another big outing from a hitter on a roll against the San Francisco Giants (65-61) on Wednesday at 4:05 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park. Bryce Harper is currently on a two-game homer streak.

The Phillies are favored (-139 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Giants (+117). The contest has a set total of 9.

The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of August 23, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Giants Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -139 +117 9

Phillies Betting Insights

  • This season, the Phillies have won 49 out of the 84 games, or 58.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Philadelphia has entered 49 games this season favored by -139 or more and is 30-19 in those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 58.2% chance to win.
  • Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 126 games with a total this season.
  • The Phillies have an ATS record of 56-70-0 in 126 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6
HR 19
ERA 3.93
K/9 8.3

Giants Betting Insights

  • The Giants have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (49.2%) in those games.
  • This year, San Francisco has won 12 of 26 games when listed as at least +117 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 46.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of its 126 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Giants have an against the spread record of 61-65-0 in 126 games with a line this season.

Giants Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 11
ERA 5.07
K/9 9.4

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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Michael Lorenzen

  • Lorenzen and his team are 13-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
  • Lorenzen has made 19 starts of five or more innings in 21 chances this season, and averages 6 frames when he pitches.
  • He has seven appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 21 chances this season.
  • Lorenzen’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (6-3).
  • In games Lorenzen has started, his team is 10-11.
  • Games started by Lorenzen have a 10-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Craig Kimbrel 55 53 72 3.06 4 19
Gregory Soto 53 47.2 47 4.72 16 2
Seranthony Domínguez 43 36 35 4 12 2
Jeff Hoffman 35 37.1 49 2.65 4 1
Matt Strahm 33 73.2 92 3.3 5 1

Giants Probable Pitcher – Alex Cobb

  • Cobb (6-5 with a 3.75 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 127 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Giants, his 24th of the season.
  • The righty’s last appearance was on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • Cobb is looking to record his 17th start of five or more innings this season in this game.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in six of his 23 appearances this season.
  • The Giants have a 6-4 record in Cobb’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Cobb’s 23 starts, his team is 15-8.
  • Cobb’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of 23 games.

Giants Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Camilo Doval 55 55.1 75 2.6 0 33
Tyler Rogers 53 60.1 50 2.69 25 2
Taylor Rogers 47 42.2 51 2.74 9 1
Scott Alexander 36 38.1 24 4.23 5 1
Jakob Junis 28 69.2 82 4 2 1

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies are 33-9 this season in games when they send out two or more home runs.
  • Philadelphia has gone 28-9 in its 37 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has totaled eight or more hits in 85 games this season, and is 55-30 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 50-10 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Phillies are 30-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Giants Hitting Trends

  • They have won 27 of the 45 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • San Francisco has won 15 of its 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 47-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • In 54 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 37-17.
  • They have won 20 of their 33 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Phillies vs. Giants Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-139)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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