The Milwaukee Brewers (69-57) aim to finish off a sweep of a two-game series versus the Minnesota Twins (65-61), at 2:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Twins are an underdog (+124 moneyline odds to win) when they visit the Brewers (-148). The over/under for the game is set at 8 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of August 23, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -148 | +124 | 8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- This season, the Brewers have won 37 out of the 65 games, or 56.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Milwaukee has won 16 of its 31 games, or 51.6%, when favored by at least -148 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 59.7% chance of a victory for the Brewers.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 55 of its 126 chances.
- The Brewers are 61-65-0 against the spread in their 126 chances this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.48 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have been chosen as underdogs in 40 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (37.5%) in those games.
- Minnesota has a mark of 6-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +124 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 58 of 126 chances this season.
- The Twins are 58-68-0 against the spread in their 126 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Corbin Burnes
- Burnes’ team is 9-16-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw seven scoreless innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers while allowing two hits.
- Burnes has 23 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 25 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
- Burnes’ team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 12-8.
- In games Burnes has started, his team is 14-11.
- Games Burnes has started this season hit the over 13 times in 25 chances.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 57 | 51.2 | 47 | 2.44 | 13 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 53 | 57.1 | 65 | 1.88 | 22 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 49 | 47.1 | 70 | 1.52 | 0 | 30 |
| Elvis Peguero | 48 | 50.2 | 45 | 3.73 | 17 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 47 | 39.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 12 | 8 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda
- Maeda gets the start for the Twins, his 15th of the season. He is 3-7 with a 4.13 ERA and 82 strikeouts in 69 2/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Wednesday, Aug. 16 against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw four innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Maeda has 10 starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 14 outings this season.
- The Twins are 1-5 in Maeda’s six starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Maeda’s team has a 6-8 record in his starts this season.
- Maeda has had 14 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those matchups hit the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 54 | 51.1 | 50 | 3.33 | 19 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 49 | 53.2 | 50 | 3.02 | 7 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 49 | 48 | 49 | 5.06 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 46 | 48.2 | 68 | 2.77 | 1 | 23 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 20 | 17.2 | 19 | 2.04 | 10 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have racked up two or more long balls in 48 games this season, and are 39-9 in those contests.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 15 games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 48-18 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
- Milwaukee is 56-10 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Brewers have drawn five or more walks in 43 games this season, and are 32-11 in those contests.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 61 games this season and are 47-14 in those matchups.
- Minnesota has won 34 of its 41 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 54 of the 73 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Minnesota has a 58-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 25 of their 38 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Brewers vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-148)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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