Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 21, 2023

Brandon Belt leads the Toronto Blue Jays (69-56) into a contest versus the Baltimore Orioles (77-47), after his two-homer showing in a 10-3 victory over the Reds, starting at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Orioles (-110 on the moneyline) and the Blue Jays (-109) will square off in an expected close matchup. The over/under in the game is set at 8 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article reflect odds as of August 22, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles vs Blue Jays Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Orioles -110 -109 8

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 39, or 70.9%, of those games.
  • This season Baltimore has won 39 of its 55 games, or 70.9%, when favored by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have a 52.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 63 of 124 chances this season.
  • The Orioles are 78-46-0 ATS in their 124 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.0
HR 13
ERA 3.80
K/9 8.6

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have been underdogs in 34 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (55.9%) in those contests.
  • Toronto has a win-loss record of 19-15 when favored by -109 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 52.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Contests with Toronto has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 125 chances this season.
  • The Blue Jays are 58-67-0 against the spread in their 125 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 11
ERA 2.76
K/9 9.0

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Grayson Rodriguez

  • Rodriguez’s team is 10-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in seven innings pitched against the San Diego Padres on Tuesday, Aug. 15.
  • Rodriguez has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 16 chances this season.
  • Rodriguez’s team is 4-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Rodriguez’s team has won 10 of his 16 starts this season.
  • In games Rodriguez has started this season, the teams are 10-6-0 at hitting the over.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 54 60.1 58 3.58 6 0
Yeinier Cano 54 59 55 1.68 27 4
Felix Bautista 51 58.1 109 1.54 0 32
Cionel Pérez 47 42.2 37 3.80 9 1
Shintaro Fujinami 40 63.1 67 7.96 4 1

Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Yusei Kikuchi

  • Kikuchi will look for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Blue Jays, his 25th of the season. He is 9-4 with a 3.44 ERA and 132 strikeouts through 128 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Tuesday, Aug. 15, the left-hander tossed six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • Kikuchi is trying for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 frames per start.
  • He has had four appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Blue Jays have a 6-3 record in Kikuchi’s nine starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Kikuchi’s team has won 16 of his 24 starts.
  • Kikuchi has started 24 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in nine of them.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Erik Swanson 56 55.2 64 3.23 27 4
Tim Mayza 56 42.2 41 1.05 20 1
Yimi Garcia 55 51.1 58 4.03 13 3
Jordan Hicks 48 49.2 67 3.81 8 11
Jordan Romano 45 44 54 2.66 2 30

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • The Orioles are 34-12 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
  • Baltimore has gone 31-3 in its 34 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected at least eight hits in 78 games this season, and is 55-23 in those contests.
  • Baltimore is 57-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Orioles are 24-7 over the 31 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 39 games this season and are 27-12 in those matchups.
  • Toronto has gone 19-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 61-32 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Toronto has a 48-13 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 22-10

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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