The Minnesota Twins (65-60) and Milwaukee Brewers (68-57) square off on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET, beginning a two-game series at American Family Field.
The Twins (-113 moneyline odds to win) and the Brewers (-106) will take the field in an expected close matchup. The over/under for this game is 8.
The betting insights in the following article reference odds valid as of August 22, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -113 | -106 | 8 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have won 50 out of the 84 games, or 59.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Minnesota has a record of 48-34, a 58.5% win rate, when favored by -113 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 53.1% chance to win.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of 125 opportunities.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 58-67-0 in 125 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been underdogs in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 31 times (51.7%) in those contests.
- Milwaukee has a win-loss record of 27-29 when favored by -106 or worse by bookmakers this year.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 51.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 54 of 125 chances this season.
- In 125 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 60-65-0 against the spread.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Bailey Ober
- Ober and his team are 9-11-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday.
- Ober has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 20 chances this season.
- When Ober starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-6.
- Ober’s team has won 12 of his 20 starts.
- In Ober’s 20 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 54 | 51.1 | 50 | 3.33 | 19 | 1 |
| Emilio Pagán | 49 | 53.2 | 50 | 3.02 | 7 | 0 |
| Dylan Floro | 48 | 47 | 47 | 4.21 | 9 | 7 |
| Jhoan Duran | 46 | 48.2 | 68 | 2.77 | 1 | 23 |
| Caleb Thielbar | 20 | 17.2 | 19 | 2.04 | 10 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley gets the start for the Brewers, his 17th of the season. He is 6-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 55 strikeouts over 82 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s most recent time out came on Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he tossed five innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
- Miley will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in five of his 16 outings this season.
- The Brewers are 6-3 in Miley’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Miley’s team is 9-7 over his 16 starts.
- Miley’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 16 contests.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 56 | 50.2 | 46 | 2.49 | 13 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 53 | 57.1 | 65 | 1.88 | 22 | 3 |
| Devin Williams | 49 | 47.1 | 70 | 1.52 | 0 | 30 |
| Elvis Peguero | 48 | 50.2 | 45 | 3.73 | 17 | 1 |
| Andrew Chafin | 47 | 39.2 | 54 | 5.22 | 12 | 8 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have hit at least two dingers in 61 games this season, and are 47-14 in those outings.
- Minnesota is 34-7 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 54-19 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Minnesota is 58-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have drawn five or more walks in 38 games this season, and are 25-13 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 39 of the 48 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its 15 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have won 47 of the 65 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Milwaukee has a 55-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 42 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 31-11
Twins vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-106)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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