Yankees vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 22, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 21, 2023

The New York Yankees (60-64) will aim to snap an eight-game losing streak when hosting the Washington Nationals (57-68) at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The Nationals are road underdogs (+150) versus the Yankees (-181). The game’s total is 8.5.

The betting insights in what follows use the latest odds as of August 22, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -181 +150 8.5

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 42 out of the 77 games, or 54.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York has entered 14 games this season favored by -181 or more and is 11-3 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 64.4% chance to win.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 57 of 124 games with a total.
  • The Yankees are 60-64-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 1-9
Runs Per Game 3.1
HR 10
ERA 6.32
K/9 8.7

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have come away with 49 wins in the 114 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 29-30 when favored by +150 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 40% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of its 124 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 68-56-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 9
ERA 5.26
K/9 8.5

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon

  • When Rodon starts, his team is 1-5-0 against the spread this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, Aug. 6, when he threw 2 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing three hits against the Houston Astros.
  • In six starts this season, Rodon has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.5 innings per appearance.
  • He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
  • When Rodon starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 1-4.
  • Rodon’s team has won one of his six starts.
  • In Rodon’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 50 45.1 40 3.18 14 4
Clay Holmes 48 47 55 2.49 5 16
Keynan Middleton 45 45 57 3.40 5 2
Albert Abreu 40 54 55 4.83 3 0
Michael King 39 66.1 79 3.26 8 6

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray

  • Gray makes the start for the Nationals, his 25th of the season. He is 7-10 with a 3.96 ERA and 114 strikeouts in 129 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Tuesday, Aug. 15 against the Boston Red Sox, when he tossed three innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Gray has put up 20 starts this year where he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 23 of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 9-14 in those matchups.
  • In Gray’s 24 starts, his team is 10-14.
  • Gray has had 24 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 11 of those outings hit the over.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kyle Finnegan 52 54.1 54 2.82 8 21
Hunter Harvey 43 44.1 49 2.84 13 9
Mason Thompson 42 48 40 4.50 10 1
Jordan Weems 34 40.1 45 2.68 5 0
Andres Machado 28 28.2 27 6.28 4 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have a 48-17 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
  • New York has gone 13-3 in its 16 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits 75 times this season, and has a 48-27 record in those games.
  • New York is 45-15 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 38 games this season, and are 21-17 in those contests.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They are 20-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Washington has won 16 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 47-38 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Washington has won 41 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 15 of their 25 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Yankees vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-181)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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