The San Diego Padres (59-66) and Miami Marlins (64-61) both enter Monday’s contest on losing streaks. The Padres have dropped two straight, the Marlins two in a row.
The Padres are a home favorite (-195) versus the Marlins (+162). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 21, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -195 | +162 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have won 50, or 52.1%, of the 96 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season San Diego has won 12 of its 21 games, or 57.1%, when favored by at least -195 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.1% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 50 of its 125 chances.
- The Padres have an ATS record of 59-66-0 in 125 games with a spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 29, or 43.9%, of the 66 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Miami has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 38.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over in 57 of its 125 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 56-69-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Michael Wacha
- Wacha’s team is 12-4-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw five scoreless innings against the Baltimore Orioles while allowing three hits.
- Wacha will look to finish five or more innings for the sixth start in a row.
- In 16 appearances this season, he has finished seven without allowing an earned run.
- Wacha’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-4).
- Wacha’s team has won 11 of his 16 starts this season.
- Games Wacha has started this season hit the over seven times in 16 chances.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Wilson | 48 | 50.2 | 54 | 3.37 | 21 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 46 | 43.2 | 68 | 0.82 | 0 | 27 |
| Nick Martínez | 45 | 88 | 81 | 3.99 | 15 | 1 |
| Luís Garcia | 45 | 44.2 | 44 | 4.84 | 9 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 44 | 49.1 | 58 | 5.47 | 1 | 13 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Ryan Weathers
- Weathers gets the start for the Marlins, his 11th of the season. He is 1-7 with a 6.89 ERA and 34 strikeouts over 48 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance — out of the bullpen on Saturday, Aug. 5 — the lefty tossed 3 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up six earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Weathers will try to record his sixth matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 3.7 innings per appearance.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in six of Weathers’ starts this season, and they went 2-4 in those matchups.
- In Weathers’ 10 starts, his team is 4-6.
- Weathers has started 10 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 51 | 57 | 81 | 2.68 | 23 | 2 |
| David Robertson | 48 | 52 | 55 | 2.94 | 7 | 18 |
| Jorge López | 45 | 44.1 | 33 | 5.68 | 7 | 3 |
| Andrew Nardi | 44 | 42.1 | 55 | 3.19 | 10 | 2 |
| Steven Okert | 44 | 46 | 59 | 2.93 | 10 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 29-23 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
- San Diego has gone 23-8 in its 31 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 47-21 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- San Diego is 49-9 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres are 28-22 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They are 18-21 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Miami has won 22 of its 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 53 of the 95 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Miami has won 45 of its 59 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 16-12 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-195)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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