The Philadelphia Phillies (67-57) and San Francisco Giants (65-59) square off in the first of a three-game series on Monday at Citizens Bank Park, at 6:40 PM ET. The Phillies are coming off a series split with the Nationals, and the Giants a series loss to the Braves.
The favored Phillies (-145 on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Giants (+121). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in this article are based off odds valid as of August 21, 2023 at 5:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Giants Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -145 | +121 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 82 games this season and won 47 (57.3%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia is 26-18 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
- The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 124 chances.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 55-69-0 in 124 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Giants Betting Insights
- The Giants have won in 29, or 50.9%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- San Francisco has a win-loss record of 11-12 when favored by +121 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Giants have a 45.2% chance of walking away with the win.
- San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 52 of its 124 opportunities.
- In 124 games with a line this season, the Giants have a mark of 60-64-0 against the spread.
Giants Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- Nola and his team have a record of 10-15-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
- Nola will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- In 25 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Nola’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (10-6).
- Nola’s team has a 13-12 record in his starts this season.
- In games Nola has started this season, the teams are 14-9-2 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 54 | 52 | 71 | 3.12 | 4 | 19 |
| Gregory Soto | 52 | 46.2 | 45 | 4.82 | 16 | 2 |
| Seranthony Domínguez | 42 | 35 | 35 | 4.11 | 12 | 2 |
| Jeff Hoffman | 34 | 36.1 | 49 | 2.72 | 4 | 1 |
| Matt Strahm | 32 | 72.2 | 90 | 3.34 | 5 | 1 |
Giants Probable Pitcher – Scott Alexander
- Alexander (6-2) takes the mound first for the Giants in his ninth start of the season. He has a 4.06 ERA in 37 2/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance — out of the bullpen on Friday — the left-hander tossed a scoreless third of an inning against the Atlanta Braves while surrendering one hit.
- Alexander, who averages 0.8 per outing, has not yet pitched five or more innings in a start this season (in eight starts).
- He is trying to keep a streak of two games without giving up an earned run intact.
- The Giants are 1-3 in Alexander’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Alexander’s team has a 3-5 record in his starts this season.
- Alexander has had eight starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and three of those outings hit the over.
Giants Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camilo Doval | 54 | 55 | 75 | 2.29 | 0 | 33 |
| Tyler Rogers | 52 | 59.1 | 48 | 2.73 | 24 | 2 |
| Taylor Rogers | 46 | 41.2 | 51 | 2.81 | 8 | 1 |
| Scott Alexander | 36 | 37.2 | 22 | 4.06 | 5 | 1 |
| Jakob Junis | 28 | 69.2 | 82 | 4.00 | 2 | 1 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 32-9 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Philadelphia has gone 27-9 in its 36 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 53-30 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
- Philadelphia is 49-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies have gone 30-12 in the 42 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Giants Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 44 games this season and are 27-17 in those matchups.
- San Francisco has gone 15-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 47-21 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- San Francisco has won 37 of its 54 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 20 of their 33 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Giants Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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