The Atlanta Braves (80-43) and New York Mets (58-67) clash in NL East play, on Monday at 7:20 PM ET.
The Mets are an underdog (+189 on the moneyline to win) when they visit the Braves (-230). The contest has a set total of 10.5.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 21, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Mets Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -230 | +189 | 10.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 110 times and won 72, or 65.5%, of those games.
- Atlanta has entered 27 games this season favored by -230 or more and is 19-8 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 69.7% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- So far this season, Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 66 of 123 games with a total.
- The Braves are 65-58-0 against the spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.1 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 2.12 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have come away with 13 wins in the 47 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- New York has played as an underdog of +189 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 34.6% chance of pulling out a win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of its 126 opportunities.
- The Mets are 51-75-0 against the spread in their 126 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 5.66 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Allan Winans
- Winans has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, Aug. 12, when he threw seven scoreless innings while allowing four hits against the New York Mets.
- Winans’ team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Winans’ team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Winans this season, the teams hit the over once.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 53 | 49.1 | 59 | 4.20 | 13 | 10 |
| Pierce Johnson | 53 | 50.1 | 72 | 4.65 | 6 | 13 |
| Kirby Yates | 47 | 48.2 | 64 | 2.96 | 7 | 2 |
| Brad Hand | 46 | 41.2 | 44 | 4.54 | 3 | 0 |
| Joe Jiménez | 44 | 43.2 | 55 | 2.68 | 10 | 0 |
Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- The Mets are sending Peterson (3-7) out for his 15th start of the season. He is 3-7 with a 5.45 ERA and 79 strikeouts over 72 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty last pitched on Tuesday against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
- Peterson has put up eight starts this year that he pitched five or more innings.
- He has made six appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Mets are 2-5 in Peterson’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Peterson’s team is 4-10 over his 14 starts.
- Peterson has started 14 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 53 | 49 | 45 | 3.31 | 12 | 7 |
| Brooks Raley | 50 | 42.1 | 45 | 2.55 | 21 | 3 |
| Trevor Gott | 48 | 45.1 | 49 | 4.57 | 8 | 1 |
| Drew Smith | 47 | 42.2 | 49 | 4.01 | 11 | 2 |
| Phil Bickford | 45 | 50.1 | 58 | 5.90 | 4 | 1 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 50-17 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
- Atlanta is 31-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 85 games this season, and is 60-25 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 64-15 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Braves are 26-12 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Mets Hitting Trends
- They have won 26 of the 44 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has gone 16-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 68 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 45-23.
- New York has won 44 of its 62 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 29 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-13
Braves vs. Mets Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-230)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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