Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 20, 2023

The Texas Rangers (72-52) will attempt to stop a four-game losing streak when visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks (64-61) at 9:40 PM ET on Monday.

The Rangers are a favorite (-165) against the Diamondbacks (+137). The total for this game is 9.

The betting insights in the article below reflect odds as of August 21, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Diamondbacks Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -165 +137 9

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have been favorites in 84 games this season and won 51 (60.7%) of those contests.
  • Texas has entered 34 games this season favored by -165 or more and is 24-10 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 62.3%.
  • So far this season, Texas and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of 124 games with a total.
  • In 124 games with a spread this season, the Rangers are 72-52-0 ATS.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 10
ERA 3.44
K/9 8.8

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 31, or 44.9%, of the 69 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Arizona has won eight of 21 games when listed as at least +137 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 42.2% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of its 125 opportunities.
  • The Diamondbacks have posted a record of 69-56-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 13
ERA 4.30
K/9 8.8

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jordan Montgomery

  • Montgomery’s team is 10-14-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The left-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
  • Montgomery has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 24 chances this season.
  • Montgomery’s team has won 40% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-12).
  • Montgomery’s team has won nine of his 24 starts.
  • Games Montgomery has started this season hit the over 10 times in 24 chances.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 49 67.2 67 3.72 6 1
Aroldis Chapman 45 45.1 84 2.18 13 3
Will Smith 45 44.2 45 3.83 5 22
Brock Burke 39 49 38 3.31 10 0
José Leclerc 37 38.1 41 2.82 2 1

Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Joe Mantiply

  • Mantiply (1-1) gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his third of the season.
  • In his last appearance — in relief on Saturday — the left-hander tossed scoreless two-thirds of an inning against the San Diego Padres without surrendering a hit.
  • He will try for his third straight appearance without allowing an earned run.
  • The Diamondbacks have yet to be named a moneyline underdog when Mantiply starts this season.
  • His team has won both of the matchups he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Mantiply’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Miguel Castro 54 50.1 43 5.19 11 7
Paul Sewald 52 49 68 3.12 0 26
Kyle Nelson 51 46 57 2.93 9 0
Scott McGough 51 59 71 4.58 13 9
Kevin Ginkel 45 50.2 49 2.13 4 3

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have a 44-15 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
  • Texas is 31-13 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 68-32 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
  • Texas is 64-19 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn five or more walks in 45 games this season, and are 28-17 in those contests.

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

  • They have won 28 of the 41 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Arizona has won 19 of its 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 59 of the 88 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Arizona has a 56-17 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have won 21 of their 43 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-165)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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