Angels vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 21, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 20, 2023

The Los Angeles Angels (61-64) host the Cincinnati Reds (64-61) to start a three-game series at Angel Stadium of Anaheim, with first pitch at 9:38 PM ET on Monday. The Angels are on the back of a series defeat to the Rays, and the Reds a series loss to the Blue Jays.

The Angels are favored at home (-135) against the Reds (+112). The total for this game is 9.

The betting insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 21, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Angels vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Angels -135 +112 9

Angels Betting Insights

  • The Angels have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 35, or 53.8%, of those games.
  • Los Angeles has entered 38 games this season favored by -135 or more and is 20-18 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Angels have a 57.4% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 63 of 125 games with a total.
  • The Angels have an ATS record of 59-66-0 in 125 games with a spread this season.

Angels Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 11
ERA 7.03
K/9 9.1

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have been victorious in 44, or 48.4%, of the 91 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Cincinnati has won 30 of 66 games when listed as at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 62 of its 125 opportunities.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 74-51-0 against the spread this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 9
ERA 3.70
K/9 8.8

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Angels Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

  • Giolito and his team are 14-11-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Wednesday, when he threw six innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up four earned runs while allowing seven hits.
  • Giolito has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has three appearances with no earned runs allowed in 25 chances this season.
  • Giolito’s team has won 55.6% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-4).
  • In games Giolito has started, his team is 8-17.
  • In games Giolito has started this season, the teams are 12-12-1 at hitting the over.

Angels Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Reynaldo López 49 51.2 68 3.83 13 6
Carlos Estévez 48 50 62 3.60 2 26
Aaron Loup 43 37 33 5.59 8 1
Dominic Leone 36 38.1 40 4.23 2 1
Matt Moore 36 40 42 1.58 19 0

Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft

  • The Reds will send Ashcraft (6-8) out to make his 24th start of the season. He is 6-8 with a 4.89 ERA and 90 strikeouts over 127 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the right-hander went seven innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • Ashcraft will aim to go five or more innings for his 10th straight start. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
  • He has had two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The Reds have been the underdog on the moneyline in 16 of Ashcraft’s starts this season, and they went 7-9 in those games.
  • Ashcraft’s team has won 10 of his 23 starts.
  • Ashcraft’s starts hit the over on the run total 11 times in 23 games with a set total this season.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 54 58.1 51 3.24 17 1
Alex Young 54 47.2 44 3.02 12 1
Buck Farmer 54 58.1 54 3.86 10 2
Alexis Diaz 53 53.2 74 2.35 1 33
Sam Moll 50 46.1 57 4.08 6 1

Angels Hitting Trends

  • The Angels are 33-16 this season in games when they crush two or more long balls.
  • Los Angeles has gone 21-8 in its 29 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits 80 times this season, and has a 46-34 record in those games.
  • Los Angeles has a 45-19 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Angels have drawn at least five walks in 31 games this season, and are 19-12 in those contests.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They have won 32 of the 42 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 35 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-8.
  • They have won 57 of the 81 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 74 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 62-12.
  • They have a 19-20 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Angels vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Angels (-135)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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