The Toronto Blue Jays (68-56) and Cincinnati Reds (64-60) play a rubber match on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Blue Jays are favored (-115) in an expected evenly matched game against the Reds (-105). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The insights in this article reflect odds as of August 20, 2023 at 1:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Blue Jays vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | -115 | -105 | 9.5 |
Blue Jays Betting Insights
- The Blue Jays have been favorites in 90 games this season and won 49 (54.4%) of those contests.
- Toronto has a record of 43-37, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Blue Jays.
- Toronto and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 49 of 124 opportunities.
- The Blue Jays are 57-67-0 against the spread this season.
Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.79 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been underdogs in 90 games this season and have come away with the win 44 times (48.9%) in those contests.
- This season, Cincinnati has been victorious 39 times in 84 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 51.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of its 124 opportunities.
- In 124 games with a line this season, the Reds have a mark of 74-50-0 against the spread.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.00 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Hyun-Jin Ryu
- Ryu’s team is 2-1-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up no earned runs and allowed two hits in five innings against the Chicago Cubs.
- He has kept opponents from scoring an earned run in two straight appearances.
- Ryu’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 2-1.
- Ryu’s team has won two of his three starts this season.
- Games started by Ryu have a 2-1-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Blue Jays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Swanson | 56 | 55.2 | 64 | 3.23 | 27 | 4 |
| Tim Mayza | 56 | 42.2 | 41 | 1.05 | 20 | 1 |
| Yimi Garcia | 55 | 51.1 | 58 | 4.03 | 13 | 3 |
| Jordan Hicks | 48 | 49.2 | 67 | 3.81 | 8 | 11 |
| Jordan Romano | 45 | 44 | 54 | 2.66 | 2 | 30 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Hunter Greene
- Greene (2-4 with a 3.93 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 73 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Reds, his 15th of the season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, June 17 against the Houston Astros, when he went six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
- Greene has put together 10 starts this season where he pitched five or more innings.
- He has had three appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Reds have a 4-5 record in Greene’s nine starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Greene’s team is 5-9 over his 14 starts.
- Greene’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 14 contests.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Gibaut | 54 | 58.1 | 51 | 3.24 | 17 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 53 | 46.2 | 44 | 2.89 | 12 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 53 | 53.2 | 74 | 2.35 | 1 | 33 |
| Buck Farmer | 53 | 56.1 | 53 | 3.99 | 10 | 2 |
| Lucas Sims | 49 | 46 | 58 | 3.91 | 20 | 2 |
Blue Jays Hitting Trends
- The Blue Jays have a 26-12 record this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- Toronto has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 23 games this season, and has gone 18-5 in those contests.
- The club is 60-32 in the games this season it has collected at least eight hits.
- Toronto is 47-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Blue Jays have drawn at least five walks in 32 games this season, and are 22-10 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 42 games this season and are 32-10 in those matchups.
- In 35 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 27-8.
- They have won 57 of the 81 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 74 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 62-12.
- In 39 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-20
Blue Jays vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (-105)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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