Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 20, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 20, 2023

The New York Yankees (60-63) carry a seven-game losing run into a home contest versus the Boston Red Sox (65-58), at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday.

The Yankees (-112 moneyline odds to win) meet the Red Sox (-107) in a projected tight matchup. The game’s over/under is 9.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 20, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -112 -107 9

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 76 times this season and won 42, or 55.3%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 40-31 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 56 of its 123 chances.
  • The Yankees are 59-64-0 ATS in their 123 games with a spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 9
ERA 5.79
K/9 9.0

Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Red Sox have come away with 30 wins in the 60 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Boston has won 30 of 58 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of its 123 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox have posted a record of 63-60-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 14
ERA 3.68
K/9 9.7

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt

  • Schmidt’s team is 12-12-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up eight earned runs and allowed nine hits in 2 1/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves.
  • Schmidt has 16 starts of five or more innings this season in 24 chances. He averages 4.7 innings per outing.
  • He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 25 chances this season.
  • Schmidt’s team has a record of 8-8 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Schmidt’s team has won 11 of his 24 starts this season.
  • Out of Schmidt’s 24 starts with a total this season, nine have hit the over.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 50 45.1 40 3.18 14 4
Clay Holmes 47 46 55 2.35 5 16
Keynan Middleton 45 45 57 3.40 5 2
Albert Abreu 40 54 55 4.83 3 0
Michael King 38 65 77 2.91 8 6

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Josh Winckowski

  • Winckowski (3-1) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox, his second this season.
  • The righty last appeared in relief on Thursday, when he tossed two-thirds of an inning against the Washington Nationals, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • The Red Sox have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Winckowski starts this season.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s appeared in this season.
  • Winckowski’s lone start with a total this season went over.

Red Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Martin 44 41 36 1.32 21 1
Josh Winckowski 43 64.2 57 3.20 16 2
Kenley Jansen 42 40.1 48 2.90 0 28
Brennan Bernardino 31 40 46 2.70 3 0
John Schreiber 27 28.1 32 2.86 10 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have hit at least two long balls in 64 games this season, and are 48-16 in those contests.
  • New York has gone 13-2 in its 15 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has collected eight or more hits 74 times this season, and has a 48-26 record in those games.
  • New York is 45-14 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Yankees are 21-16 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Red Sox Hitting Trends

  • They have won 27 of the 39 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 35 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 26-9.
  • They have a record of 53-34 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Boston has won 53 of its 64 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 14-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-112)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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