Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 20, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 19, 2023

Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies (67-56) into a contest against the Washington Nationals (56-68) following his two-homer performance in a 12-3 victory over the Nationals. It begins at 7:10 PM ET on Sunday.

The Phillies are heavily favored (-233 on the moneyline) when they visit the Nationals (+191). The contest has an over/under of 9.

The betting trends in the article below are based off odds valid as of August 20, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Phillies -233 +191 9

Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Phillies have been favorites in 81 games this season and won 47 (58%) of those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 6-2 this season when entering a game favored by -233 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 70% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
  • Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 53 of its 123 chances.
  • In 123 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 55-68-0 ATS.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 6.0
HR 20
ERA 3.58
K/9 8.5

Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Nationals have won in 48, or 42.5%, of the 113 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 10-15 when favored by +191 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 34.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of its 123 opportunities.
  • The Nationals have posted a record of 67-56-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 9
ERA 5.73
K/9 8.8

If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Phillies or Nationals, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler

  • Wheeler and his team are 9-15-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in seven innings against the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • Wheeler will look to finish five or more innings for the 13th start in a row.
  • He has made 24 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Wheeler’s team has won 59.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (13-9).
  • Wheeler’s team has won 15 of his 24 starts.
  • Games Wheeler has started this season hit the over 10 times in 24 chances.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Craig Kimbrel 54 52 71 3.12 4 19
Gregory Soto 52 46.2 45 4.82 16 2
Seranthony Domínguez 42 35 35 4.11 12 2
Jeff Hoffman 34 36.1 49 2.72 4 1
Matt Strahm 32 72.2 90 3.34 5 1

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams

  • Williams makes the start for the Nationals, his 25th of the season. He is 5-7 with a 5.20 ERA and 90 strikeouts in 117 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance came on Sunday, Aug. 13 against the Oakland Athletics, when he tossed 4 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Williams has pitched five or more innings in a game 16 times this year entering this game.
  • In three of his 24 total appearances this season he has not surrendered an earned run.
  • The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 21 of Williams’ starts this season, and they went 9-12 in those games.
  • Williams’ team has won 12 of his 24 starts.
  • Williams has had 23 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in 10 of those matchups.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kyle Finnegan 51 54 53 2.67 8 20
Hunter Harvey 42 43.1 48 2.91 13 9
Jordan Weems 33 39.1 44 2.75 5 0
Andres Machado 28 28.2 27 6.28 4 0
Jose Ferrer 22 20 13 4.05 5 0

Phillies Hitting Trends

  • The Phillies have a 32-9 record in games this season when they belt at least two home runs.
  • Philadelphia has put up five or more extra-base hits in 36 games this season, and has gone 27-9 in those contests.
  • The team has notched at least eight hits in 83 games this season, and is 53-30 in those contests.
  • Philadelphia is 49-10 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Phillies are 30-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Nationals Hitting Trends

  • They are 20-10 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-4.
  • In 84 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 46-38.
  • Washington has won 41 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 15-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-233)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!

Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.

PlayPicks Staff Avatar
Written by
PlayPicks Staff

PlayPicks staff has years of sports betting and DFS knowledge and we share all of that with you for free daily.

View all posts by PlayPicks Staff
Privacy Policy