Rangers vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – August 20, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on August 19, 2023

The Texas Rangers hope to end their three-game losing run against the Milwaukee Brewers (67-57), on Sunday at 2:35 PM ET.

The Rangers are favored at home (-207) against the Brewers (+171). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The insights in the article below reference odds valid as of August 20, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rangers vs Brewers Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rangers -207 +171 8.5

Rangers Betting Insights

  • The Rangers have won 51, or 61.4%, of the 83 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Texas has a record of 12-4, a 75% win rate, when favored by -207 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.4% chance of a victory for the Rangers.
  • Texas’ games have gone over the total in 60 of its 123 chances.
  • The Rangers have an ATS record of 72-51-0 in 123 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 10
ERA 2.93
K/9 8.5

Brewers Betting Insights

  • The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 59 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (50.8%) in those games.
  • Milwaukee has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +171 or worse on the moneyline this season.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 36.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 54 of its 124 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Brewers are 59-65-0 against the spread in their 124 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Brewers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 11
ERA 4.10
K/9 9.0

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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer

  • Scherzer and his team have a record of 14-8-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed seven innings without allowing a run on one hit in a matchup with the Los Angeles Angels.
  • Scherzer has pitched five or more innings in 11 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has finished five appearances without allowing an earned run in 22 chances this season.
  • Scherzer’s team has been victorious in 77.8% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 14-4.
  • Scherzer’s team has a 15-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Scherzer’s 22 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.

Rangers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Chris Stratton 48 66.1 66 3.80 6 1
Aroldis Chapman 45 45.1 84 2.18 13 3
Will Smith 44 44 44 3.27 5 22
Brock Burke 38 48 38 3.38 10 0
Josh Sborz 37 46 62 4.50 14 0

Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser

  • Houser makes the start for the Brewers, his 16th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 68 strikeouts in 83 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Houser is trying for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
  • He has made three appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Brewers are 6-5 in Houser’s 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Houser’s team has a 9-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Houser’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in four of 15 games.

Brewers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Hoby Milner 56 50.2 46 2.49 13 0
Joel Payamps 53 57.1 65 1.88 22 3
Devin Williams 48 47 70 1.53 0 29
Elvis Peguero 47 49 42 3.86 16 1
Andrew Chafin 47 39.2 54 5.22 12 8

Rangers Hitting Trends

  • The Rangers have hit at least two dingers in 59 games this season, and are 44-15 in those outings.
  • Texas has collected five or more extra-base hits in 44 games this season, and has gone 31-13 in those outings.
  • The club is 68-31 in the games this season it has totaled at least eight hits.
  • Texas is 64-19 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Rangers have drawn at least five walks in 45 games this season, and are 28-17 in those contests.

Brewers Hitting Trends

  • They are 39-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Milwaukee is undefeated in 15 games this season with five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 47-18 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Milwaukee has won 54 of its 64 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 30-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rangers vs. Brewers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-207)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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